The Cleveland Guardians (47-48) aim to sweep a three-game series versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-54), at 12:35 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Guardians are favored away from home (-139) versus the Pirates (+118). The over/under in the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 19, 2023 at 7:17 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -139 | +118 | 9 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 51 times this season and won 29, or 56.9%, of those games.
- This season Cleveland has won 16 of its 27 games, or 59.3%, when favored by at least -139 on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of 95 opportunities.
- The Guardians have an ATS record of 48-47-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won in 29, or 39.2%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 23 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 48 of 95 chances this season.
- The Pirates have an against the spread record of 42-53-0 in 95 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.63 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale
- When Civale starts, his team is 6-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Civale has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 10 chances this season.
- Civale’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-2).
- Civale’s team has won five of his 10 starts.
- Out of Civale’s 10 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 3.30 | 0 | 25 |
| Trevor Stephan | 42 | 40.1 | 42 | 3.35 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 40 | 39.1 | 34 | 2.75 | 8 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 36 | 39.1 | 39 | 2.29 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 32 | 35.2 | 37 | 2.52 | 3 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill (7-9) gets the starting nod for the Pirates in his 20th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.85 ERA in 104 2/3 innings pitched, with 93 strikeouts.
- In his last time out on Friday, the lefty went six innings against the San Francisco Giants, allowing three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Hill heads into the game with 16 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Pirates have a 5-9 record in Hill’s 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Hill’s team is 8-11 over his 19 starts.
- Hill’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 11 of 19 games.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 40 | 41.2 | 55 | 3.46 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 35 | 37 | 45 | 1.22 | 0 | 17 |
| Colin Holderman | 31 | 30.1 | 30 | 4.15 | 13 | 1 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 23 | 29.2 | 25 | 4.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have a 13-4 record this season in games when they belt two or more home runs.
- Cleveland has put up at least five extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 14-5 in those outings.
- The club has notched eight or more hits 59 times this season, and has a 33-26 record in those games.
- Cleveland is 28-6 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Guardians have drawn at least five walks in 22 games this season, and are 13-9 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 18-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 16 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 29 of the 41 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has won 26 of its 31 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 13 of their 27 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+118)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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