Rays vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 19, 2023

The Texas Rangers (57-39) will look to sweep a three-game series versus the Tampa Bay Rays (60-38), at 2:05 PM ET on Wednesday.

Oddsmakers project the Rays as a small favorite (-116 moneyline odds) against the Rangers (-104). The total for this game is set at 9.

The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 19, 2023 at 7:16 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -116 -104 9

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have entered the game as favorites 82 times this season and won 54, or 65.9%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 78 games this season favored by -116 or more and is 54-24 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 52 of its 98 chances.
  • In 98 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 55-43-0 ATS.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 13
ERA 3.84
K/9 9.5

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have won in 18, or 58.1%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Texas has a win-loss record of 11-12 when favored by -104 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 51% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of its 96 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rangers are 57-39-0 against the spread in their 96 games that had a posted line this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 14
ERA 4.50
K/9 6.6

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zack Littell

  • Littell has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, July 9 against the Atlanta Braves, throwing two innings of relief while giving up two earned runs and allowing four hits.
  • Littell’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Littell’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Littell this season, the teams hit the over once.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 39 39.1 48 2.75 9 10
Colin Poche 38 35 28 2.06 12 1
Jake Diekman 37 31 38 4.35 7 0
Kevin Kelly 34 41.2 34 2.59 9 2
Robert Stephenson 34 29.1 40 4.30 8 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray

  • The Rangers will send Gray (6-5) out to make his 18th start of the season. He is 6-5 with a 3.45 ERA and 79 strikeouts over 99 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the right-hander threw six innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Gray will try to build upon a five-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 innings per outing).
  • He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rangers have a 5-1 record in Gray’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Over Gray’s 17 starts, his team is 9-8.
  • Gray has had 17 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in eight of those outings.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Aroldis Chapman 35 35.1 63 2.04 8 3
Will Smith 35 36 38 2.75 5 17
Brock Burke 29 36.2 27 2.95 9 0
José Leclerc 28 28.2 30 3.14 2 1
Grant Anderson 18 26 22 4.15 4 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have hit two or more dingers in 46 games this season, and are 34-12 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay is 25-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 46-23 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • Tampa Bay is 45-17 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 24 games this season, and are 19-5 in those contests.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 33 of the 45 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Texas has gone 22-12 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 56 of the 81 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Texas has won 51 of its 67 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 35 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 23-12

Rays vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-104)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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