The Chicago Cubs (44-50) and Washington Nationals (38-57) square off on Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET at Wrigley Field, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Cubs are a home favorite (-165) against the Nationals (+139). The game’s total is set at 9.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of July 19, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -165 | +139 | 9 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- This season, the Cubs have been favored 46 times and won 25, or 54.3%, of those games.
- Chicago has a record of 5-5, a 50% win rate, when favored by -165 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 62.3% chance to win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 49 of 94 opportunities.
- The Cubs have an ATS record of 45-49-0 in 94 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 90 games this season and have come away with the win 35 times (38.9%) in those contests.
- This year, Washington has won 24 of 54 games when listed as at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 46 of its 94 opportunities.
- The Nationals have an against the spread record of 51-43-0 in 94 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 6.78 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Kyle Hendricks
- Hendricks and his team are 5-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
- In 10 starts, Hendricks has pitched through or past the fifth inning eight times. He has a season average of 5.8 frames per outing.
- He has made 10 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Hendricks’ team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Hendricks’ team is 6-4 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Hendricks have a 6-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 39 | 39.2 | 54 | 3.63 | 5 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 39 | 42.1 | 45 | 4.46 | 7 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 36 | 38.2 | 53 | 3.49 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 33 | 41 | 46 | 2.63 | 7 | 7 |
| Michael Rucker | 29 | 36.2 | 38 | 4.91 | 0 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- The Nationals are sending Williams (5-5) to the mound to make his 20th start of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 73 strikeouts through 93 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance came on Friday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the righty went 2 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing only one hit.
- Williams is trying to secure his 15th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Nationals have a 9-9 record in Williams’ 18 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williams’ team has won 10 of his 19 starts.
- Williams has had 18 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those outings.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 37 | 40.2 | 40 | 3.32 | 7 | 12 |
| Mason Thompson | 36 | 44 | 38 | 3.27 | 9 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 17 | 22.1 | 21 | 3.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
| Cory Abbott | 8 | 19.1 | 15 | 5.12 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs are 20-16 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Chicago has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and has gone 14-2 in those outings.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits in 62 games this season, and is 42-20 in those contests.
- Chicago has a 34-13 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Cubs are 17-15 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 22 games this season and are 13-9 in those matchups.
- Washington has gone 11-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 33-33 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 36 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 25-11.
- In 18 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-10
Cubs vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-165)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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