Francisco Alvarez leads the New York Mets (44-50) into a matchup versus the Chicago White Sox (40-56) following his two-homer showing in an 11-10 victory over the White Sox. It begins at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Mets are a home favorite (-203) against the White Sox (+171). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 19, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs White Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -203 | +171 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 63 times and won 34, or 54%, of those games.
- This season New York has won four of its nine games, or 44.4%, when favored by at least -203 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 67%.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of 95 opportunities.
- The Mets have an ATS record of 38-57-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
White Sox Betting Insights
- The White Sox have come away with 21 wins in the 60 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Chicago has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +171 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 36.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 43 of its 96 opportunities.
- The White Sox are 48-48-0 against the spread in their 96 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
White Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.24 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- Verlander’s team is 3-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up three earned runs while allowing two hits.
- Verlander has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 13 chances this season.
- Verlander’s team is 4-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Verlander’s team has won five of his 13 starts.
- Games Verlander has started this season hit the over four times in 13 chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 41 | 38.1 | 38 | 3.76 | 11 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 40 | 33.2 | 36 | 2.14 | 18 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 38 | 42.1 | 47 | 2.13 | 6 | 14 |
| Trevor Gott | 33 | 32.1 | 34 | 4.45 | 7 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 33 | 30.1 | 35 | 4.45 | 9 | 2 |
White Sox Probable Pitcher – Touki Toussaint
- Toussaint (0-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 24 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the White Sox, his fourth of the season.
- The right-hander last appeared in relief on Friday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
- Toussaint will try to build on a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.0 innings per outing).
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The White Sox were the moneyline underdog for two Toussaint starts this season — they lost both.
- Toussaint’s team is 1-2 in his three starts.
- Toussaint has had three starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in one of those games.
White Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | 41 | 41 | 40 | 3.07 | 8 | 8 |
| Gregory Santos | 39 | 47.1 | 46 | 2.66 | 5 | 1 |
| Reynaldo López | 39 | 40 | 50 | 4.50 | 9 | 4 |
| Aaron Bummer | 35 | 31.2 | 41 | 7.11 | 7 | 0 |
| Keynan Middleton | 35 | 34 | 44 | 2.91 | 4 | 2 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 16-15 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- New York has gone 10-4 in its 14 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits 53 times this season, and has a 34-19 record in those games.
- New York has a 33-15 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mets are 12-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
White Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 31 games this season and are 16-15 in those matchups.
- Chicago has won 13 of its 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 32 of the 57 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has won 26 of its 36 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-7
Mets vs. White Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-203)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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