The Toronto Blue Jays (53-42) host the San Diego Padres (45-50) on Wednesday at Rogers Centre, at 7:07 PM ET.
The Blue Jays are a home favorite (-121) versus the Padres (+103). The over/under for this game is 9.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 19, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -121 | +103 | 9 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 70 times and won 41, or 58.6%, of those games.
- Toronto has entered 59 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 34-25 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
- So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of 95 games with a total.
- The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 43-52-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have come away with eight wins in the 24 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, San Diego has won three of 15 games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 49.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 39 of its 95 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Padres are 46-49-0 against the spread in their 95 games that had a posted line this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios
- When Berrios starts, his team is 11-8-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed seven hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday.
- Berrios has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 19 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
- Berrios’ team has a record of 9-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Berrios’ team has won 12 of his 19 starts this season.
- Games started by Berrios have a 7-9-3 record at hitting the over this season.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 43 | 44 | 49 | 3.07 | 22 | 2 |
| Tim Mayza | 42 | 31 | 32 | 1.16 | 12 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 41 | 38.2 | 46 | 4.42 | 10 | 2 |
| Jordan Romano | 38 | 37.2 | 48 | 2.87 | 1 | 26 |
| Trevor Richards | 28 | 47.1 | 72 | 3.04 | 5 | 0 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- The Padres will send Darvish (6-6) out to make his 17th start of the season. He is 6-6 with a 4.65 ERA and 98 strikeouts through 91 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the right-hander tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
- Darvish is looking for his seventh straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 frames per start.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Padres are 1-2 in Darvish’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Darvish’s team has compiled a 7-9 record in his 16 starts.
- Darvish’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in eight of 16 contests.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 41 | 40.2 | 25 | 3.98 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 37 | 35 | 52 | 1.03 | 0 | 22 |
| Steven Wilson | 35 | 38 | 41 | 2.84 | 17 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 34 | 68.2 | 58 | 3.80 | 11 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 34 | 32.2 | 32 | 5.51 | 9 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have hit two or more homers in 30 games this season, and are 20-10 in those outings.
- Toronto is 14-4 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 48-26 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Toronto has a 39-11 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays are 15-7 over the 22 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 40 games this season and are 21-19 in those matchups.
- San Diego has won 16 of its 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 51 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 34-17.
- In 44 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 37-7.
- They have won 24 of their 41 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Blue Jays vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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