Astros vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 18, 2023

The Houston Astros (52-42) will look to Chas McCormick, riding a two-game homer streak, when they face the Colorado Rockies (36-58) and C.J. Cron, who has also homered in two straight games. It begins at 8:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at Coors Field.

The Rockies are an underdog (+141 moneyline odds) when they host the Astros (-169). The game’s total is set at 12.

The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of July 18, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Astros vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Astros -169 +141 12

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 34 out of the 63 games, or 54%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Houston has entered 26 games this season favored by -169 or more and is 18-8 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 62.8% chance to win.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of its 94 games with a total this season.
  • In 94 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 47-47-0 ATS.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 17
ERA 5.50
K/9 10.0

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (39.8%) in those contests.
  • Colorado has a win-loss record of 17-40 when favored by +141 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 41.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Colorado’s games have gone over the total in 40 of its 94 opportunities.
  • The Rockies have posted a record of 43-51-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 16
ERA 4.85
K/9 5.0

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown

  • Brown and his team have a record of 6-11-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, July 8, when he tossed three innings while giving up five earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Seattle Mariners.
  • In 17 starts, Brown has pitched through or past the fifth inning 10 times. He has a season average of 5.5 frames per outing.
  • He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 17 chances this season.
  • Brown’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-6.
  • Brown’s team has a 9-8 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Brown has started this season, the teams are 8-9-0 at hitting the over.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 43 44.1 66 2.84 16 2
Phil Maton 43 46.2 51 2.51 6 1
Héctor Neris 40 39.2 48 1.59 19 2
Ryan Pressly 39 41.1 46 2.83 0 21
Rafael Montero 37 39.2 41 6.58 5 1

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Jake Bird

  • Bird (2-1) gets the starting nod for the Rockies in his fourth start of the season. He has a 3.70 ERA in 56 2/3 innings pitched, with 52 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out — out of the bullpen on Sunday — the righty tossed two-thirds of an inning against the New York Yankees, allowing two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • In 30 of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
  • The Rockies are 1-2 in Bird’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Bird’s team is 1-2 in his three starts.
  • Bird has started three games with a total this season. His team has gone under in each of them.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Bird 40 56 52 3.70 6 0
Justin Lawrence 39 48 50 2.63 8 5
Pierce Johnson 39 36.2 53 6.14 3 13
Brad Hand 34 30.2 36 4.99 2 0
Daniel Bard 31 32.2 28 2.20 3 1

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros have a 21-8 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
  • Houston has put up at least five extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 15-5 in those contests.
  • The team has racked up eight or more hits in 64 games this season, and is 51-13 in those contests.
  • Houston is 47-8 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Astros have gone 21-6 in the 27 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 13-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Colorado has gone 11-11 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 29-32 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Colorado has a 29-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-4

Astros vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Astros (-169)
Over/Under Pick: Under (12)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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