The Pittsburgh Pirates (41-53) will look to Jared Triolo, currently on a 10-game hitting streak, against the Cleveland Guardians (46-48) at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, at PNC Park.
The Pirates are a tight favorite (-113 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Guardians (-106). The total for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of July 18, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -113 | -106 | 8.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been favorites in 20 games this season and won 12 (60%) of those contests.
- Pittsburgh has entered 19 games this season favored by -113 or more and is 11-8 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 53.1%.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of its 94 games with a total this season.
- The Pirates are 42-52-0 ATS in their 94 games with a spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.32 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have won in 17, or 40.5%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Cleveland has been victorious 15 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of its 94 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Guardians have an against the spread record of 47-47-0 in 94 games with a line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller and his team have a record of 12-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Saturday, July 8 in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Keller has pitched five or more innings in 18 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 19 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- When Keller starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-3.
- In games Keller has started, his team is 11-8.
- In Keller’s 19 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 40 | 41.2 | 55 | 3.46 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 35 | 37 | 45 | 1.22 | 0 | 17 |
| Colin Holderman | 31 | 30.1 | 30 | 4.15 | 13 | 1 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 22 | 28.2 | 25 | 3.77 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen
- Allen makes the start for the Guardians, his 13th of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.47 ERA and 63 strikeouts in 62 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Thursday, June 29, the left-hander tossed 3 2/3 scoreless innings against the Kansas City Royals while surrendering three hits.
- Allen has pitched five or more innings in a game eight times this season entering this game.
- In three of his 12 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Guardians are 5-1 in Allen’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Allen’s team has compiled a 9-3 record in his 12 starts.
- Allen’s starts went over the run total five times in 12 games with a set total this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 3.30 | 0 | 25 |
| Trevor Stephan | 41 | 39.1 | 41 | 3.43 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 39 | 38.1 | 33 | 2.82 | 8 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 35 | 38.1 | 38 | 2.11 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 32 | 35.2 | 37 | 2.52 | 3 | 0 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have an 18-6 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
- Pittsburgh has had five or more extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and has gone 16-2 in those contests.
- The club has notched at least eight hits 41 times this season, and has a 29-12 record in those games.
- Pittsburgh is 26-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Pirates have drawn at least five walks in 27 games this season, and are 13-14 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 16 games this season and are 12-4 in those matchups.
- Cleveland has gone 13-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 32-26 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cleveland has won 27 of its 33 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-9
Pirates vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-113)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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