The Milwaukee Brewers (52-42) will look to keep a four-game win streak going when they visit the Philadelphia Phillies (51-42) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Phillies are favored at home (-202) versus the Brewers (+167). The game’s total is set at 9.5.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of July 18, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -202 | +167 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 55 games this season and won 34 (61.8%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has a record of 7-5, a 58.3% win rate, when favored by -202 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.9% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of 93 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 42-51-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.87 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been victorious in 25, or 55.6%, of the 45 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Milwaukee has been listed as an underdog of +167 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 37.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of its 94 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Brewers have posted a record of 46-48-0 against the spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.33 |
| K/9 | 11.3 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- When Nola starts, his team is 7-12-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, July 9, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in six innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Nola has pitched five or more innings in 18 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 19 chances this season.
- Nola’s team is 7-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Nola’s team has a 9-10 record in his starts this season.
- In Nola’s 19 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 41 | 39 | 59 | 3.23 | 3 | 15 |
| Gregory Soto | 39 | 35 | 37 | 4.89 | 12 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 27 | 38.2 | 32 | 2.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Yunior Marte | 26 | 24.2 | 24 | 5.11 | 2 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 20 | 57.2 | 76 | 3.75 | 2 | 1 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Julio Teheran
- Teheran (2-3 with a 3.64 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 47 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his ninth of the season.
- His last time out came on Monday, July 3 against the Chicago Cubs, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing nine hits.
- Teheran will try to continue a nine-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 frames per appearance).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his eight appearances this season.
- The Brewers have a 2-4 record in Teherán’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Teherán’s team has won three of his eight starts.
- Teherán’s starts went over the run total two times in eight games with a set total this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 42 | 38 | 34 | 2.37 | 9 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 40 | 44.1 | 51 | 1.83 | 18 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 36 | 36.1 | 50 | 1.73 | 0 | 23 |
| Elvis Peguero | 34 | 37 | 33 | 2.92 | 13 | 1 |
| Bryse Wilson | 31 | 43.2 | 35 | 2.68 | 3 | 3 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have put up at least two home runs in 29 games this season, and are 22-7 in those outings.
- Philadelphia has collected at least five extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 18-6 in those contests.
- The team has notched eight or more hits in 62 games this season, and is 40-22 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has a 37-5 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 30 games this season, and are 22-8 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 42 games this season and are 35-7 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in eight games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 36-13 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Milwaukee has won 45 of its 52 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 34 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 26-8
Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-202)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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