The San Diego Padres (44-50) and Toronto Blue Jays (53-41) clash in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at Rogers Centre, at 7:07 PM ET. The Padres are coming off a series defeat to the Phillies, and the Blue Jays a series win over the Diamondbacks.
The Padres are favored away from home (-134) versus the Blue Jays (+113). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 18, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -134 | +113 | 9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have won 36 out of the 69 games, or 52.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- San Diego has entered 51 games this season favored by -134 or more and is 29-22 in those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 38 of 94 chances this season.
- The Padres are 45-49-0 against the spread in their 94 chances this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.96 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (50%) in those games.
- This season, Toronto has been victorious five times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over in 41 of its 94 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Blue Jays are 43-51-0 against the spread in their 94 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 2.74 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove
- Musgrove and his team have a record of 8-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Sunday, July 9 in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
- Musgrove has pitched five or more innings in 12 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 14 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Musgrove’s team has a record of 9-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Musgrove’s team is 9-5 when he starts this season.
- Games Musgrove has started this season hit the over five times in 14 chances.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 41 | 40.2 | 25 | 3.98 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 37 | 35 | 52 | 1.03 | 0 | 22 |
| Steven Wilson | 35 | 38 | 41 | 2.84 | 17 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 34 | 68.2 | 58 | 3.80 | 11 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 34 | 32.2 | 32 | 5.51 | 9 | 0 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Alek Manoah
- Manoah (2-7) gets the starting nod for the Blue Jays in his 15th start of the season. He has a 5.91 ERA in 64 2/3 innings pitched, with 56 strikeouts.
- His most recent time out was on Friday, July 7 against the Detroit Tigers, when the righty went six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
- Manoah has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this year heading into this outing.
- He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Blue Jays were named the moneyline underdog for four Manoah starts this season — they lost every time.
- Manoah’s team has compiled a 5-9 record in his 14 starts.
- Manoah has had 14 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 10 of those games.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 43 | 44 | 49 | 3.07 | 22 | 2 |
| Tim Mayza | 42 | 31 | 32 | 1.16 | 12 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 41 | 38.2 | 46 | 4.42 | 10 | 2 |
| Jordan Romano | 38 | 37.2 | 48 | 2.87 | 1 | 26 |
| Trevor Richards | 28 | 47.1 | 72 | 3.04 | 5 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have put up two or more homers in 39 games this season, and are 20-19 in those outings.
- San Diego has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 15-8 in those outings.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits 50 times this season, and has a 33-17 record in those games.
- San Diego is 36-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres have gone 23-17 in the 40 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They have won 20 of the 30 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Toronto has won 14 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 74 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 48-26.
- Toronto has a 39-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 15-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (+113)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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