Mets vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 17, 2023

The New York Mets (43-50) and Chicago White Sox (40-55) clash on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Citi Field.

The Mets are a home favorite (-133) against the White Sox (+112). The over/under in the game is 8.5 total runs.

The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of July 18, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs White Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -133 +112 8.5

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites 62 times this season and won 33, or 53.2%, of those games.
  • This season New York has won 20 of its 44 games, or 45.5%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of 94 games with a total.
  • The Mets are 38-56-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 12
ERA 3.20
K/9 9.6

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have come away with 21 wins in the 59 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win 13 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 47.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 42 of its 95 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The White Sox have posted a record of 47-48-0 against the spread this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 8
ERA 4.79
K/9 9.7

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco

  • Carrasco’s team is 6-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, July 7, when he allowed three hits in eight scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • Carrasco has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 12 chances this season.
  • When Carrasco starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-2.
  • Carrasco’s team has won five of his 12 starts.
  • In games Carrasco has started this season, the teams are 6-4-2 at hitting the over.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 40 37.1 38 3.86 10 6
Brooks Raley 39 33 35 2.18 17 1
David Robertson 37 41.1 47 1.96 6 13
Drew Smith 33 30.1 35 4.45 9 2
Trevor Gott 32 32.1 34 3.90 7 0

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito

  • Giolito gets the start for the White Sox, his 20th of the season. He is 6-5 with a 3.45 ERA and 117 strikeouts in 112 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Sunday, July 9 against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he went seven innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up two hits.
  • Giolito will try to build on a nine-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 frames per appearance).
  • In two of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The White Sox have a 3-8 record in Giolito’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Giolito’s team has won seven of his 19 starts.
  • Giolito has started 19 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kendall Graveman 41 41 40 3.07 8 8
Gregory Santos 39 47.1 46 2.66 5 1
Reynaldo López 38 39 48 4.62 9 4
Aaron Bummer 35 31.2 41 7.11 7 0
Keynan Middleton 34 33 43 3.00 4 2

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets have a 15-15 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
  • New York has collected five or more extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 9-4 in those contests.
  • The club is 33-19 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
  • New York is 32-15 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Mets are 11-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 31 games this season and are 16-15 in those matchups.
  • In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-7.
  • They have won 32 of the 56 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Chicago has won 26 of its 35 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won five of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mets vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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