The Atlanta Braves (61-31) and Arizona Diamondbacks (52-42) square off in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at Truist Park, at 7:20 PM ET. The Braves are coming off a series defeat to the White Sox, and the Diamondbacks a series loss to the Blue Jays.
The Braves are favored (-192 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at home against the Diamondbacks (+159). The over/under in the game is set at 10.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of July 18, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -192 | +159 | 10.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 53 (67.1%) of those contests.
- Atlanta is 22-7 this season when entering a game favored by -192 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 65.8% chance to win.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 49 of 92 opportunities.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 47-45-0 in 92 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have come away with 23 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Arizona has a mark of 4-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +159 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 42 of its 94 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 94 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 54-40-0 against the spread.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- Elder and his team have a record of 10-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, July 9, when he threw 3 1/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up seven earned runs while allowing six hits.
- In 18 starts this season, Elder has lasted five or more innings 17 times, with an average of 5.9 innings per appearance.
- In 18 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- When Elder starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-3.
- Elder’s team has a 13-5 record in his starts this season.
- Games Elder has started this season hit the over six times in 18 chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Yates | 32 | 34.1 | 47 | 3.15 | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 31 | 31.2 | 37 | 3.13 | 6 | 0 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 28 | 27.1 | 33 | 3.62 | 0 | 16 |
| Collin McHugh | 27 | 37.1 | 26 | 3.62 | 7 | 0 |
| Michael Tonkin | 21 | 46 | 39 | 2.54 | 1 | 1 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zach Davies
- Davies (1-5 with a 6.37 ERA and 45 strikeouts in 53 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his 12th of the season.
- The righty last pitched on Sunday, July 9 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Davies is trying for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.8 innings per start.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Diamondbacks have a 2-5 record in Davies’ seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Davies’ team has a 4-7 record over his 11 starts.
- Davies has had 11 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in five of those outings.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 40 | 47.2 | 59 | 3.78 | 12 | 7 |
| Miguel Castro | 39 | 38.1 | 31 | 3.29 | 9 | 7 |
| Kyle Nelson | 37 | 35 | 47 | 2.83 | 6 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 37 | 32.1 | 45 | 3.06 | 11 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 33 | 40.1 | 36 | 5.36 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit at least two dingers in 48 games this season, and are 36-12 in those contests.
- Atlanta has gone 23-2 in its 25 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 47-19 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Atlanta is 48-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves are 17-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 24-8 in those matchups.
- Arizona has gone 17-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 49-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Arizona has won 49 of its 61 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-17 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-192)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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