The Cleveland Guardians hope to end their four-game losing run against the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-52), on Monday at 7:05 PM ET.
The Guardians are favored (-128 moneyline odds) when they visit the Pirates (+108). The over/under for the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of July 17, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -128 | +108 | 9 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won 28 out of the 50 games, or 56%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Cleveland has won 19 of its 36 games, or 52.8%, when favored by at least -128 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 56.1%.
- So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of 93 games with a total.
- The Guardians have an ATS record of 46-47-0 in 93 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 73 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (39.7%) in those games.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 26-37 when favored by +108 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of its 93 opportunities.
- The Pirates have an against the spread record of 42-51-0 in 93 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Xzavion Curry
- In two games he pitched with a spread last season, Curry and his team failed to covered the spread both times.
- The 24-year-old righty has pitched out of the bullpen 23 times already this campaign, but will make his first start.
- Curry appeared in one game with his team as the moneyline favorite last season and lost.
- The 24-year-old made two appearances last year and his team failed to win either of those games.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 42 | 42.2 | 38 | 3.37 | 0 | 25 |
| Trevor Stephan | 41 | 39.1 | 41 | 3.43 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 39 | 38.1 | 33 | 2.82 | 8 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 35 | 38.1 | 38 | 2.11 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 31 | 34.2 | 35 | 2.60 | 3 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Quinn Priester
- Priester gets the call to start for the Pirates, his first of the season.
- The right-hander is pitching in his MLB debut at 22 years old.
- Priester never pitched as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 39 | 40.2 | 54 | 3.32 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 35 | 37 | 45 | 1.22 | 0 | 17 |
| Colin Holderman | 31 | 30.1 | 30 | 4.15 | 13 | 1 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 21 | 27 | 23 | 3.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have an 11-4 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- Cleveland has collected five or more extra-base hits in 17 games this season, and has gone 12-5 in those outings.
- The team is 31-26 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Cleveland is 26-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Guardians are 13-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 18-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-2.
- They have won 29 of the 41 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has a 26-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-14
Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+108)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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