The Detroit Tigers (41-51) and Kansas City Royals (27-67) clash on Monday at 8:10 PM ET, opening a four-game series at Kauffman Stadium.
The Royals are an underdog (+114 on the moneyline) when they host the Tigers (-135). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.
The insights in this article reflect odds as of July 17, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Tigers vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -135 | +114 | 9.5 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been favorites in 13 games this season and won seven (53.8%) of those contests.
- This season Detroit has won three of its eight games when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
- The Tigers have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 50 of its 93 chances.
- The Tigers are 51-42-0 ATS in their 93 games with a spread this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have won in 24, or 29.6%, of the 81 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Kansas City has won 22 of 74 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of its 94 opportunities.
- The Royals are 36-58-0 against the spread in their 94 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.68 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Tigers Probable Pitcher – Matt Manning
- Manning’s team is 3-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run or hit in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday, July 8 in his last outing, a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Manning has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made five appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Manning has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
- Manning’s team has won three of his five starts this season.
- In Manning’s five starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 38 | 39.1 | 36 | 2.29 | 15 | 3 |
| Alex Lange | 37 | 37.2 | 48 | 4.30 | 2 | 14 |
| José Cisnero | 37 | 35 | 37 | 3.34 | 10 | 1 |
| Chasen Shreve | 37 | 33.2 | 34 | 4.54 | 11 | 0 |
| Tyler Holton | 28 | 49 | 43 | 1.84 | 4 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- Lyles makes the start for the Royals, his 18th of the season. He is 1-11 with a 6.24 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last pitched on Thursday, July 6 against the Cleveland Guardians, when he threw five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up six hits.
- Lyles is trying for his ninth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 frames per start.
- He has not made an appearance so far in 2023 that he did not give up at least one earned run.
- The Royals have a 1-14 record in Lyles’ 15 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Lyles’ team has won one of his 17 starts.
- Lyles has had 17 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those matchups hit the over.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 36 | 37 | 45 | 4.14 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 35 | 38.2 | 43 | 5.82 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 31 | 34 | 44 | 3.97 | 0 | 11 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 31 | 45.2 | 52 | 3.94 | 5 | 0 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
Tigers Hitting Trends
- The Tigers have put up two or more long balls in 22 games this season, and are 15-7 in those contests.
- Detroit has put up five or more extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and has gone 12-4 in those contests.
- The team is 40-12 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Detroit is 35-8 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Tigers have drawn five or more walks in 25 games this season, and are 17-8 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They have won seven of the 20 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-12.
- In 53 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 20-33.
- Kansas City has won 17 of its 28 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won three of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Tigers vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Royals (+114)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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