Willson Contreras takes a two-game homer streak into the St. Louis Cardinals’ (40-53) game versus the Miami Marlins (53-42) at 7:45 PM ET on Monday, at Busch Stadium.
The Marlins are a close favorite (-112 moneyline odds) when they play the Cardinals (-107). The total for this game is 8.5.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 17, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -112 | -107 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have been favored 45 times and won 30, or 66.7%, of those games.
- Miami has a record of 30-14 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of its 95 games with a total this season.
- The Marlins have an ATS record of 46-49-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.24 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been victorious in 16, or 41%, of the 39 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, St. Louis has been victorious 16 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with St. Louis has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 47 of 92 chances this season.
- The Cardinals have posted a record of 42-50-0 against the spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- Luzardo and his team are 12-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday, July 9 in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Luzardo has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 19 chances this season.
- Luzardo’s team is 6-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Luzardo’s team has won 13 of his 19 starts.
- Games started by Luzardo have a 9-8-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 39 | 44.1 | 65 | 2.84 | 18 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 37 | 36 | 38 | 4.25 | 9 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 36 | 46.1 | 47 | 3.50 | 12 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 33 | 33.2 | 46 | 3.21 | 10 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 29 | 29 | 36 | 4.34 | 0 | 15 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas
- Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals, his 21st of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.12 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 115 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Friday against the Washington Nationals, when he threw three scoreless innings without surrendering a hit.
- Mikolas heads into the matchup with 17 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He is trying to make his third straight appearance with no earned runs given up.
- The Cardinals have a 2-4 record in Mikolas’ six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Mikolas’ team is 9-11 in his 20 starts.
- Mikolas’ starts hit the over on the run total 10 times in 19 games with a set total this season.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hicks | 36 | 38.2 | 56 | 3.96 | 6 | 7 |
| Chris Stratton | 35 | 47.2 | 49 | 3.97 | 3 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 34 | 36.2 | 36 | 4.42 | 12 | 8 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 30 | 32 | 38 | 5.06 | 5 | 0 |
| Andre Pallante | 29 | 32.2 | 29 | 5.23 | 8 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 12-18 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
- Miami is 16-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 77 times this season, and has a 44-33 record in those games.
- Miami has a 36-11 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins have drawn five or more walks in 23 games this season, and are 12-11 in those contests.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 30 of the 46 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- St. Louis has gone 25-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 40-24 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- St. Louis has a 35-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 11-16 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-107)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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