Rays vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 16, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (60-36) and Texas Rangers (55-39) square off in the first of a three-game series on Monday at Globe Life Field, at 8:05 PM ET. The Rays are coming off a series victory over the Royals, and the Rangers a series win over the Guardians.

The Rays are favored (-125 moneyline odds) when they visit the Rangers (+106). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of July 17, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -125 +106 8.5

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won 54, or 66.7%, of the 81 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 51-18 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of its 96 games with a total this season.
  • The Rays are 55-41-0 against the spread in their 96 chances this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 13
ERA 4.00
K/9 9.1

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have come away with 17 wins in the 30 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Texas has been victorious seven times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of its 94 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 94 games with a line this season, the Rangers have a mark of 55-39-0 against the spread.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 15
ERA 5.34
K/9 7.1

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Shane McClanahan

  • When McClanahan starts, his team is 12-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, July 1, when he threw three innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up four earned runs.
  • McClanahan has started 17 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 14 times. He averages 5.6 innings per appearance.
  • In 17 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
  • McClanahan’s team has a record of 13-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • McClanahan’s team is 14-3 when he starts this season.
  • In McClanahan’s 17 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 11 times.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 38 38.1 47 2.82 9 10
Jake Diekman 37 31 38 4.35 7 0
Colin Poche 37 34 26 2.12 12 1
Kevin Kelly 34 41.2 34 2.59 9 2
Robert Stephenson 33 28.1 38 4.45 8 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning

  • The Rangers will send Dunning (8-2) out to make his 13th start of the season. He is 8-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 59 strikeouts over 92 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Sunday, July 9 against the Washington Nationals, when the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • Dunning is seeking his 13th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.6 frames per start.
  • He has had seven appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rangers have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Dunning’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
  • Dunning’s team has a 7-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Dunning’s starts hit the over on the run total five times in 12 games with a set total this season.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Aroldis Chapman 34 34.1 60 2.10 8 3
Will Smith 34 35 38 2.83 5 16
Brock Burke 29 36.2 27 2.95 9 0
José Leclerc 26 27.1 29 2.96 1 1
Grant Anderson 17 24.1 22 3.70 3 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have racked up at least two long balls in 45 games this season, and are 34-11 in those outings.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 25-2 in its 27 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 46-23 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
  • Tampa Bay is 45-17 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Rays are 19-5 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They are 32-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Texas has won 22 of its 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 80 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 55-25.
  • In 66 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 50-16.
  • They have a 23-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rays vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (+106)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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