The Seattle Mariners (46-46) and Minnesota Twins (48-46) square off on Monday at 9:40 PM ET, opening a four-game series at T-Mobile Park.
The favored Mariners (-144 moneyline odds to win) host the Twins (+121). The over/under for this game is set at 7.5.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 17, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -144 | +121 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have been favored 61 times and won 33, or 54.1%, of those games.
- This season Seattle has won 19 of its 34 games, or 55.9%, when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have a 59% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 45 of its 92 chances.
- The Mariners are 42-50-0 ATS in their 92 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 2.05 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won in 11, or 33.3%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Minnesota has been victorious five times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of its 94 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Twins have an against the spread mark of 44-50-0 in 94 games with a line this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert
- Gilbert and his team are 8-10-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, July 9, when he threw seven innings against the Houston Astros, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Gilbert has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 18 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- When Gilbert starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-9.
- In games Gilbert has started, his team is 9-9.
- Games Gilbert has started this season hit the over eight times in 18 chances.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 43 | 37 | 64 | 3.41 | 10 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 38 | 37.1 | 54 | 3.13 | 0 | 18 |
| Justin Topa | 38 | 35.2 | 32 | 2.78 | 14 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 36 | 29.2 | 28 | 3.94 | 8 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 26 | 25.2 | 26 | 2.45 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- Gray (4-3 with a 2.80 ERA and 101 strikeouts in 99 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his 19th of the season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, July 8 against the Baltimore Orioles, when he went six innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Gray will try to build upon a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per appearance).
- He has made four appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Twins have been the moneyline underdog in five of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.
- Gray’s team has an 8-10 record in his starts this season.
- Gray’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in seven of 18 games.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 40 | 38.2 | 38 | 2.56 | 13 | 1 |
| Jovani Moran | 35 | 37.2 | 44 | 4.54 | 8 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 34 | 39.1 | 37 | 3.66 | 1 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 34 | 37.1 | 47 | 2.17 | 1 | 15 |
| Jorge López | 31 | 31.1 | 25 | 4.88 | 6 | 3 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have put up at least two homers in 30 games this season, and are 22-8 in those outings.
- Seattle is 12-1 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 35-19 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Seattle is 41-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mariners have gone 24-11 in the 35 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They are 38-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Minnesota has won 28 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 56 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 44-12.
- Minnesota has won 47 of its 51 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 20 of their 31 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mariners vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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