The Chicago Cubs (43-49) and Washington Nationals (37-56) square off on Monday at 8:05 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Wrigley Field.
The Cubs are favored (-148 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Nationals (+125). The over/under for this game is 9.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of July 17, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -148 | +125 | 9 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 24 (54.5%) of those contests.
- This season Chicago has won seven of its 14 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -148 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 59.7%.
- So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of 92 games with a total.
- The Cubs are 44-48-0 ATS in their 92 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.46 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with 34 wins in the 88 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 30 times in 68 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of its 92 opportunities.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 50-42-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.60 |
| K/9 | 6.4 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- When Smyly starts, his team is 10-8-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in four innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Saturday, July 8.
- Smyly has 12 starts of five or more innings this season in 18 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
- He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 18 chances this season.
- Smyly’s team is 5-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Smyly has started, his team is 9-9.
- Out of Smyly’s 18 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 38 | 41 | 42 | 4.61 | 7 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 38 | 38.2 | 53 | 3.72 | 5 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 35 | 37.2 | 53 | 3.58 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 32 | 40 | 44 | 2.70 | 7 | 7 |
| Michael Rucker | 29 | 36.2 | 38 | 4.91 | 0 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore makes the start for the Nationals, his 19th of the season. He is 4-7 with a 4.42 ERA and 108 strikeouts through 89 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out was on Thursday, July 6 against the Cincinnati Reds, when the left-hander threw 1 1/3 scoreless innings while allowing just one hit.
- Gore has 12 starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Nationals have a 5-11 record in Gore’s 16 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Gore’s team has put together a 5-13 record in his 18 starts.
- Gore’s starts went over the run total seven times in 18 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 39 | 40.1 | 45 | 3.12 | 11 | 9 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 36 | 39.1 | 37 | 3.43 | 7 | 11 |
| Mason Thompson | 35 | 42.2 | 37 | 3.37 | 8 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 17 | 22.1 | 21 | 3.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have a 19-15 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- Chicago has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and has gone 14-2 in those outings.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 60 times this season, and has a 41-19 record in those games.
- Chicago has a 33-12 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Cubs have drawn five or more walks in 32 games this season, and are 17-15 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 12-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington has won 10 of its 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 32 of the 64 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has a 24-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won eight of their 18 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Cubs vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-148)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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