Giants vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 16, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (52-41) and Cincinnati Reds (50-44) clash in the first of a four-game series on Monday at Great American Ball Park, at 7:10 PM ET. The Giants are coming off a series victory over the Pirates, and the Reds a series loss to the Brewers.

As the favorite, the Giants (-154 moneyline odds to win) take the field at the Reds (+130). The game’s total is 10.

The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of July 17, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -154 +130 10

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have won 26 out of the 48 games, or 54.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Francisco has a record of 11-9, a 55% win rate, when favored by -154 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Giants.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of its 93 games with a total this season.
  • The Giants are 50-43-0 against the spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 8
ERA 3.50
K/9 8.4

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 69 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (49.3%) in those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 19-19 when favored by +130 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 53 of its 94 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 57-37-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 3.24
K/9 7.1

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Logan Webb

  • Webb and his team are 6-13-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in nine innings pitched on Sunday, July 9 in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • Webb will look to finish five or more innings for the 20th start in a row.
  • He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 19 chances this season.
  • Webb’s team is 6-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Webb’s team has a 9-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Webb has started this season hit the over six times in 19 chances.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 43 43 57 2.51 0 28
Tyler Rogers 42 48 38 2.25 21 2
Taylor Rogers 36 31.2 41 3.13 4 1
Scott Alexander 27 25.2 12 3.16 5 1
Jakob Junis 21 49.2 58 4.71 1 1

Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson

  • Williamson (1-2) takes the mound first for the Reds in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.21 ERA in 46 2/3 innings pitched, with 38 strikeouts.
  • The lefty’s most recent time out came on Thursday, July 6 against the Washington Nationals, when he went three scoreless innings while allowing only one hit.
  • Williamson will try to collect his seventh matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.6 innings per appearance.
  • In one of his 10 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
  • The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Williamson’s starts this season, and they went 5-3 in those games.
  • Williamson’s team has won seven of his 10 starts.
  • Williamson has started 10 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Buck Farmer 42 46 40 3.72 9 2
Ian Gibaut 41 45.2 39 3.15 10 1
Alex Young 40 36.1 35 2.48 9 1
Alexis Diaz 40 40.2 62 1.99 1 26
Lucas Sims 36 36.2 46 3.44 13 1

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants are 20-15 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • San Francisco has gone 13-7 in its 20 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 37-17 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
  • San Francisco is 33-14 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Giants are 19-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They are 25-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cincinnati has won 22 of its 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 47-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Cincinnati has a 51-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 16 of their 36 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Giants vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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