The Baltimore Orioles (56-35) will aim to keep an eight-game win streak alive when they host the Miami Marlins (53-41) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The Marlins are an underdog (+150 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Orioles (-179). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of July 16, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -179 | +150 | 8.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won 31, or 70.5%, of the 44 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Baltimore has a record of 8-1 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -179 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 64.2%.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 46 of its 91 chances.
- The Orioles are 56-35-0 against the spread in their 91 chances this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 2.83 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 49 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (46.9%) in those games.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win five times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +150 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of its 94 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 94 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 45-49-0 against the spread.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- When Bradish starts, his team is 11-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander allowed three hits in six scoreless innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Thursday, July 6.
- Bradish has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 16 chances this season.
- Bradish’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-2).
- Bradish’s team has a 10-6 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Bradish have a 5-9-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 40 | 43.2 | 46 | 3.92 | 6 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 39 | 44 | 87 | 1.02 | 0 | 25 |
| Bryan Baker | 39 | 37.2 | 47 | 3.58 | 11 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 38 | 44.2 | 39 | 1.61 | 21 | 4 |
| Danny Coulombe | 37 | 30.1 | 38 | 2.67 | 16 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Steven Okert
- Okert makes the start for the Marlins, his fifth of the season. He is 3-0 with a 2.43 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 33 1/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander last appeared in relief on Saturday, when he threw 1 1/3 scoreless innings against the Baltimore Orioles without surrendering a hit.
- He is trying to have his sixth straight outing with no earned runs allowed.
- The Marlins were the moneyline underdog for two Okert starts this season — they split the games.
- Over Okert’s four starts, his team is 2-2.
- Okert’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of four games.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 38 | 43.1 | 64 | 2.91 | 18 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 37 | 36 | 38 | 4.25 | 9 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 35 | 45.2 | 47 | 3.55 | 12 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 33 | 33.1 | 46 | 2.43 | 10 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 29 | 29 | 36 | 4.34 | 0 | 15 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles are 27-11 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Baltimore has gone 24-3 in its 27 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits 59 times this season, and has a 41-18 record in those games.
- Baltimore has a 43-9 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 25 games this season, and are 20-5 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 30 games this season and are 12-18 in those matchups.
- Miami has gone 16-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 44 of the 76 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 47 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 36-11.
- They have a 12-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-179)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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