The Los Angeles Dodgers (53-38) carry a six-game winning streak into a home contest versus the New York Mets (42-50), at 5:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The Mets are favored (-115) in a projected evenly matched game against the Dodgers (-104). The over/under for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 16, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Dodgers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -115 | -104 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been favorites in 61 games this season and won 32 (52.5%) of those contests.
- New York has a record of 29-28 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 53.5% chance to win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 39 of its 93 chances.
- The Mets are 37-56-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have won in seven, or 50%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Los Angeles has a mark of 6-6 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -104 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Dodgers have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Los Angeles has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 51 of 91 chances this season.
- The Dodgers have posted a record of 49-42-0 against the spread this season.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- When Scherzer starts, his team is 9-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, July 9, when he tossed five innings while giving up five earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
- Scherzer has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 16 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Scherzer’s team has been victorious in 69.2% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-4.
- In games Scherzer has started, his team is 10-6.
- Games started by Scherzer have a 9-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 40 | 37.1 | 38 | 3.86 | 10 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 38 | 32.1 | 35 | 2.23 | 17 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 36 | 39.1 | 46 | 2.06 | 6 | 13 |
| Drew Smith | 33 | 30.1 | 35 | 4.45 | 9 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 31 | 32 | 34 | 3.66 | 7 | 0 |
Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Bobby Miller
- Miller (5-1) takes the mound first for the Dodgers in his ninth start of the season. He has a 4.50 ERA in 44 2/3 innings pitched, with 42 strikeouts.
- His last time out was on Thursday, July 6 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Miller is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his eight appearances this season.
- The Dodgers were named the moneyline underdog for one Miller start this season — they won.
- Miller’s team has won six of his eight starts.
- Miller has started eight contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yency Almonte | 38 | 37.2 | 37 | 5.02 | 7 | 0 |
| Brusdar Graterol | 38 | 40 | 29 | 1.80 | 10 | 4 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 36 | 34.1 | 41 | 2.62 | 13 | 2 |
| Evan Phillips | 36 | 36.1 | 43 | 2.48 | 6 | 12 |
| Phil Bickford | 29 | 34 | 45 | 5.82 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 15-15 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
- New York has gone 9-4 in its 13 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 52 games this season, and is 33-19 in those contests.
- New York is 32-15 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Mets have drawn at least five walks in 20 games this season, and are 11-9 in those contests.
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- They are 37-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-9.
- They have won 41 of the 58 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Los Angeles has a 46-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 42 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 30-12
Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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