The Milwaukee Brewers (51-42) aim to add to their three-game winning streak when they meet the Cincinnati Reds (50-43) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, at Great American Ball Park.
The Brewers are an away underdog (+123) at the Reds (-145). The total for this game is set at 11.
The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of July 16, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -145 | +123 | 11 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 16 (66.7%) of those contests.
- Cincinnati is 5-1 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 53 of its 93 chances.
- In 93 games with a spread this season, the Reds are 57-36-0 ATS.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (54.5%) in those games.
- Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 10-12 when favored by +123 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 41 of its 93 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 93 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 45-48-0 against the spread.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.33 |
| K/9 | 11.0 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Ben Lively
- Lively’s team is 6-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Lively has seven starts of five or more innings this season in nine chances. He averages 5.1 innings per outing.
- In 10 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Lively’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Lively’s team has won five of his nine starts.
- Games Lively has started this season hit the over five times in nine chances.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Farmer | 41 | 45 | 39 | 3.80 | 9 | 2 |
| Ian Gibaut | 40 | 44 | 36 | 3.27 | 9 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 40 | 36.1 | 35 | 2.48 | 9 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 39 | 40 | 61 | 2.03 | 1 | 26 |
| Lucas Sims | 35 | 36 | 46 | 3.00 | 13 | 1 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- Houser (3-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 51 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his 10th of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Thursday, July 6 against the Chicago Cubs, the righty went five innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering six hits.
- Houser will try to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.6 frames per outing.
- He has had three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Brewers have a 4-3 record in Houser’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Houser’s team has put together a 5-4 record in his nine starts.
- Houser has had nine starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in one of those matchups.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 41 | 36 | 33 | 2.50 | 9 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 40 | 44.1 | 51 | 1.83 | 18 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 35 | 35.1 | 49 | 1.78 | 0 | 22 |
| Elvis Peguero | 34 | 37 | 33 | 2.92 | 13 | 1 |
| Bryse Wilson | 30 | 43.1 | 35 | 2.70 | 3 | 3 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have hit two or more long balls in 28 games this season, and are 25-3 in those outings.
- Cincinnati has gone 22-5 in its 27 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits 66 times this season, and has a 47-19 record in those games.
- Cincinnati has a 51-9 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Reds have drawn five or more walks in 36 games this season, and are 16-20 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 42 games this season and are 35-7 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in eight games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 35 of the 48 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 52 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 45-7.
- In 33 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 25-8
Reds vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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