The St. Louis Cardinals (39-53) host the Washington Nationals (37-55) at 2:15 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Nationals are an underdog away (+149) against the Cardinals (-179). The contest has a set total of 9.5.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of July 16, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cardinals vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -179 | +149 | 9.5 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- This season, the Cardinals have won 23 out of the 51 games, or 45.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- St. Louis has entered 11 games this season favored by -179 or more and is 4-7 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.2% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
- So far this season, St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of 91 games with a total.
- The Cardinals are 41-50-0 ATS in their 91 games with a spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 87 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (39.1%) in those games.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 22-24 when favored by +149 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 40.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of its 91 opportunities.
- In 91 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 50-41-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.14 |
| K/9 | 6.2 |
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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty
- Flaherty’s team is 10-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, July 6, when he allowed nine hits in 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Flaherty will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He is looking for his third appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
- When Flaherty starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-4.
- Flaherty’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts.
- In games Flaherty has started this season, the teams are 11-6-0 at hitting the over.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hicks | 36 | 38.2 | 56 | 3.96 | 6 | 7 |
| Chris Stratton | 34 | 46.2 | 49 | 4.05 | 3 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 34 | 36.2 | 36 | 4.42 | 12 | 8 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 30 | 32 | 38 | 5.06 | 5 | 0 |
| Andre Pallante | 29 | 32.2 | 29 | 4.68 | 8 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- The Nationals will send Gray (6-7) to make his 19th start of the season. He is 6-7 with a 3.41 ERA and 92 strikeouts in 100 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent appearance was on Wednesday, July 5 against the Cincinnati Reds, when he threw five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Gray will try to pitch five or more innings for his eighth straight start. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Nationals have a 7-10 record in Gray’s 17 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gray’s team has an 8-10 record in his starts this season.
- Gray has had 18 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those games finished over the total.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 39 | 40.1 | 45 | 3.12 | 11 | 9 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 36 | 39.1 | 37 | 3.43 | 7 | 11 |
| Mason Thompson | 35 | 42.2 | 37 | 3.37 | 8 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 16 | 22 | 21 | 2.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- The Cardinals have racked up at least two home runs in 45 games this season, and are 29-16 in those contests.
- St. Louis is 25-4 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits 63 times this season, and has a 39-24 record in those games.
- St. Louis is 34-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Cardinals have gone 10-16 over the 26 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 12-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington has won 10 of its 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 64 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 32-32.
- Washington has won 24 of its 35 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 8-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-179)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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