The Toronto Blue Jays (52-41) bring a three-game winning streak into a home matchup versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (52-41) at 1:37 PM ET on Sunday.
The Diamondbacks (+138 underdog moneyline odds to win) are away versus the Blue Jays (-165). The total in the game is 9.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of July 16, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -165 | +138 | 9.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- This season, the Blue Jays have won 40 out of the 69 games, or 58%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Toronto has a record of 14-10, a 58.3% win rate, when favored by -165 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 62.3% chance to win.
- Games involving Toronto has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 40 of 93 chances this season.
- In 93 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 42-51-0 ATS.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have come away with 23 wins in the 48 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Arizona has won five of 11 games when listed as at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of its 93 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 54-39-0 against the spread in their 93 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi
- Kikuchi and his team have a record of 11-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up four earned runs in five innings pitched on Friday, July 7 in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- In 18 starts, Kikuchi has pitched through or past the fifth inning 12 times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 18 chances this season.
- Kikuchi’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-4.
- In games Kikuchi has started, his team is 12-6.
- In games Kikuchi has started this season, the teams are 8-10-0 at hitting the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 42 | 43.2 | 49 | 3.09 | 22 | 1 |
| Tim Mayza | 41 | 30.2 | 32 | 1.17 | 11 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 40 | 37.2 | 46 | 4.54 | 9 | 2 |
| Jordan Romano | 38 | 37.2 | 48 | 2.87 | 1 | 26 |
| Trevor Richards | 27 | 46.1 | 70 | 3.11 | 4 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Tommy Henry
- Henry makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his 14th of the season. He is 5-1 with a 3.75 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 74 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance was on Thursday, July 6 against the New York Mets, when the lefty went six scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
- Henry will try to continue a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing).
- He has had three appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Diamondbacks have a 4-2 record in Henry’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Henry’s 13 starts, his team is 10-3.
- Henry has had 13 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those matchups finished over the total.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 39 | 47.1 | 59 | 3.04 | 12 | 7 |
| Miguel Castro | 38 | 37.1 | 29 | 3.38 | 9 | 7 |
| Kyle Nelson | 37 | 35 | 47 | 2.83 | 6 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 37 | 32.1 | 45 | 3.06 | 11 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 33 | 40.1 | 36 | 5.36 | 1 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays are 20-10 this season in games when they send out two or more bombs.
- Toronto has gone 14-4 in its 18 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 47-26 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Toronto is 38-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have gone 15-7 in the 22 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 24-8 in those matchups.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-5.
- In 71 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-22.
- Arizona has won 49 of its 60 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 34 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 18-16
Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-165)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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