The Cleveland Guardians (45-47) hope to end their three-game losing run versus the Texas Rangers (54-39), at 2:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The Rangers are favored at home (-139) against the Guardians (+116). The over/under for the game is set at 9 total runs.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 16, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -139 | +116 | 9 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- This season, the Rangers have won 37 out of the 63 games, or 58.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Texas has a record of 28-18, a 60.9% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
- Games involving Texas has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 48 of 93 chances this season.
- The Rangers are 55-38-0 against the spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.34 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been victorious in 17, or 41.5%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Cleveland has a win-loss record of 7-15 when favored by +116 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 46.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of its 92 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 45-47-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.80 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Martin Perez
- Pérez’s team is 9-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander gave up six earned runs in 1 1/3 innings pitched on Monday, July 3 in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
- In 17 starts this season, Perez has lasted five or more innings 13 times, with an average of 5.4 innings per appearance.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 17 chances this season.
- Perez’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-3).
- Pérez’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts this season.
- Games started by Perez have a 10-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 34 | 34.1 | 60 | 2.10 | 8 | 3 |
| Will Smith | 33 | 34 | 37 | 2.91 | 5 | 15 |
| Brock Burke | 29 | 36.2 | 27 | 2.95 | 9 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 26 | 27.1 | 29 | 2.96 | 1 | 1 |
| Grant Anderson | 17 | 24.1 | 22 | 3.70 | 3 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- Bibee (5-2 with a 3.34 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 70 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Guardians, his 14th of the season.
- In his most recent appearance on Thursday, July 6 against the Kansas City Royals, the righty threw five innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Bibee will try to prolong a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 frames per outing).
- He has had one appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Guardians have been the moneyline underdog in seven of Bibee’s starts this season, and they went 2-5 in those matchups.
- Over Bibee’s 13 starts, his team is 7-6.
- Bibee has had 13 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those matchups finished over the total.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 42 | 42.2 | 38 | 3.37 | 0 | 25 |
| Trevor Stephan | 40 | 39 | 41 | 2.54 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 38 | 37.1 | 33 | 2.89 | 7 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 35 | 38.1 | 38 | 2.11 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 31 | 34.2 | 35 | 2.60 | 3 | 0 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have a 32-12 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Texas has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 34 games this season, and has gone 22-12 in those contests.
- The club is 54-25 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Texas has a 49-16 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rangers have drawn five or more walks in 35 games this season, and are 23-12 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 14 games this season and are 11-3 in those matchups.
- Cleveland has gone 12-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 56 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-25.
- In 31 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-5.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-9
Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-139)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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