The San Diego Padres (44-48) will look to Manny Machado, currently on a three-game homer streak, versus the Philadelphia Phillies (49-42) at 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Padres are an underdog (+102 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Phillies (-121). The matchup has an over/under set at 10.5 total runs.
The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of July 15, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -121 | +102 | 10.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 32 out of the 53 games, or 60.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Philadelphia has entered 42 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 27-15 in those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 37 of its 91 chances.
- The Phillies are 41-50-0 against the spread in their 91 chances this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.00 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been underdogs in 22 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (36.4%) in those contests.
- This year, San Diego has won four of 15 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 36 of its 92 opportunities.
- The Padres are 44-48-0 against the spread in their 92 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- Walker’s team is 12-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, July 5, when he threw seven innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Walker has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 18 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Walker’s team has won 81.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-2).
- Walker’s team has won 13 of his 18 starts this season.
- Out of Walker’s 18 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 40 | 38 | 58 | 3.32 | 3 | 15 |
| Gregory Soto | 37 | 33.1 | 37 | 4.32 | 12 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 26 | 37.2 | 31 | 2.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Yunior Marte | 25 | 24.1 | 24 | 5.18 | 2 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 19 | 56.2 | 75 | 3.81 | 2 | 1 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Ryan Weathers
- Weathers gets the start for the Padres, his 10th of the season. He is 1-5 with a 6.08 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander last pitched on Friday, June 16 against the Cleveland Guardians, when he went 1 2/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Weathers heads into this game with five outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 11 outings this season.
- The Padres have a 2-3 record in Weathers’ five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Weathers’ team has put together a 4-5 record in his nine starts.
- Weathers’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of nine games.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 40 | 39 | 25 | 4.15 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 36 | 34 | 51 | 1.06 | 0 | 22 |
| Steven Wilson | 35 | 38 | 41 | 2.84 | 17 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 33 | 66.2 | 57 | 3.91 | 11 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 33 | 31 | 31 | 5.81 | 9 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have racked up two or more round-trippers in 27 games this season, and are 20-7 in those outings.
- Philadelphia is 17-6 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 38-22 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 35-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies are 21-8 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They have won 20 of the 38 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- San Diego has gone 15-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 33-17 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- San Diego has a 36-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 23-16 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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