The Seattle Mariners (45-45) host the Detroit Tigers (40-50) at 9:40 PM ET on Saturday.
The Tigers are an underdog (+167 on the moneyline) when they take on the Mariners (-200). The total for this game is set at 7.5.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 15, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -200 | +167 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been favorites in 59 games this season and won 32 (54.2%) of those contests.
- Seattle is 9-2 this season when entering a game favored by -200 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 66.7%.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of 90 opportunities.
- The Mariners have an ATS record of 41-49-0 in 90 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.05 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been underdogs in 78 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (43.6%) in those contests.
- This year, Detroit has won 11 of 23 games when listed as at least +167 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 37.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of its 91 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 91 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 50-41-0 against the spread.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.79 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby
- Kirby’s team is 8-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Friday, July 7.
- Kirby has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 17 chances this season.
- Kirby’s team has been victorious in 61.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-5.
- Kirby’s team has won nine of his 17 starts.
- Games started by Kirby have an 8-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 42 | 36 | 62 | 3.5 | 9 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 37 | 36.1 | 51 | 3.22 | 0 | 17 |
| Justin Topa | 36 | 33.2 | 28 | 2.94 | 13 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 36 | 29.2 | 28 | 3.94 | 8 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 25 | 23.2 | 24 | 2.66 | 0 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen
- The Tigers are sending Lorenzen (3-6) to the mound for his 16th start of the season. He is 3-6 with a 4.03 ERA and 66 strikeouts through 87 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Thursday, July 6, the right-hander threw five scoreless innings against the Oakland Athletics while surrendering three hits.
- Lorenzen will aim to last five or more innings for his 15th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing.
- He has had four appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Tigers have a 3-7 record in Lorenzen’s 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Lorenzen’s 15 starts, his team is 6-9.
- Lorenzen has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in nine of those games.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 38 | 39.1 | 36 | 2.29 | 15 | 3 |
| Alex Lange | 37 | 37.2 | 48 | 4.3 | 2 | 14 |
| José Cisnero | 37 | 35 | 37 | 3.34 | 10 | 1 |
| Chasen Shreve | 36 | 33 | 34 | 4.64 | 11 | 0 |
| Tyler Holton | 28 | 49 | 43 | 1.84 | 4 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners are 22-8 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Seattle has gone 12-1 in its 13 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 54 games this season, and is 35-19 in those contests.
- Seattle is 41-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners are 24-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They are 14-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-4.
- In 51 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 39-12.
- In 42 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 34-8.
- They have a 17-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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