The Texas Rangers (53-39) host the Cleveland Guardians (45-46) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Rangers are favored at home (-173) against the Guardians (+144). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of July 15, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -173 | +144 | 9 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have entered the game as favorites 62 times this season and won 36, or 58.1%, of those games.
- This season Texas has won 15 of its 20 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -173 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 63.4% chance to win.
- So far this season, Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of 92 games with a total.
- The Rangers are 54-38-0 ATS in their 92 games with a spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.55 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have won in 17, or 42.5%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cleveland has won all of its four games in which it was named as at least a +144 moneyline underdog.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of its 91 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Guardians are 45-46-0 against the spread in their 91 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Andrew Heaney
- Heaney and his team are 9-8-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw three innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up seven earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- In 17 starts, Heaney has pitched through or past the fifth inning 12 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
- He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 17 chances this season.
- Heaney’s team has won 58.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-5).
- In games Heaney has started, his team is 9-8.
- Games started by Heaney have a 10-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 33 | 33.1 | 58 | 2.16 | 8 | 2 |
| Will Smith | 32 | 32.1 | 35 | 3.06 | 4 | 15 |
| Brock Burke | 29 | 36.2 | 27 | 2.95 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Sborz | 28 | 37.2 | 52 | 4.54 | 10 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 26 | 27.1 | 29 | 2.96 | 1 | 1 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams
- Williams makes the start for the Guardians, his fifth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 4.01 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 24 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out came on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, when the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Williams will try to build on a five-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
- In one of his four total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Guardians were the moneyline underdog for one Williams start this season — they lost.
- In Williams’ four starts, his team is 3-1.
- Williams has had four starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those matchups.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 42 | 42.2 | 38 | 3.37 | 0 | 25 |
| Trevor Stephan | 40 | 39 | 41 | 2.54 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 38 | 37.1 | 33 | 2.89 | 7 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 35 | 38.1 | 38 | 2.11 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 31 | 34.2 | 35 | 2.6 | 3 | 0 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have racked up at least two round-trippers in 44 games this season, and are 32-12 in those outings.
- Texas has gone 22-12 in its 34 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 54-25 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Texas has a 49-16 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rangers have gone 22-12 over the 34 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won 11 of the 14 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cleveland has won 12 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 55 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-24.
- In 31 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-5.
- They have won 13 of their 22 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-173)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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