The Baltimore Orioles (55-35) bring a seven-game win streak into a home contest versus the Miami Marlins (53-40) at 7:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Marlins are road underdogs (+101) at the Orioles (-120). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of July 15, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -120 | +101 | 8.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won 30, or 69.8%, of the 43 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Baltimore has a record of 28-9 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 54.5% chance to win.
- Games involving Baltimore has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 45 of 90 chances this season.
- The Orioles are 55-35-0 against the spread in their 90 chances this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 2.43 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been underdogs in 48 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (47.9%) in those contests.
- This year, Miami has won 15 of 37 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of its 93 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 45-48-0 against the spread in their 93 games that had a posted line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- Gibson’s team is 12-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
- Gibson will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 19 chances this season.
- Gibson’s team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-3).
- Gibson’s team has won 10 of his 19 starts.
- In games Gibson has started this season, the teams are 10-9-0 at hitting the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 39 | 42 | 45 | 4.07 | 6 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 39 | 37.2 | 47 | 3.58 | 11 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 38 | 43 | 86 | 1.05 | 0 | 24 |
| Danny Coulombe | 37 | 30.1 | 38 | 2.67 | 16 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 37 | 43.2 | 39 | 1.65 | 20 | 4 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett (5-2) takes the mound first for the Marlins in his 17th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.70 ERA in 92 1/3 innings pitched, with 101 strikeouts.
- In his last time out on Saturday, July 8, the left-hander tossed five innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, allowing three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Garrett will try to build on a 13-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance).
- In three of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
- The Marlins have a 5-2 record in Garrett’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Garrett’s team has a 13-3 record in his starts this season.
- Garrett’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in eight of 16 games.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 38 | 43.1 | 64 | 2.91 | 18 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 36 | 35 | 37 | 4.37 | 9 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 34 | 45.1 | 47 | 3.18 | 12 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 32 | 32 | 43 | 2.53 | 10 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 29 | 29 | 36 | 4.34 | 0 | 15 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have hit two or more long balls in 38 games this season, and are 27-11 in those contests.
- Baltimore has gone 24-3 in its 27 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 40-18 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Baltimore has a 42-9 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Orioles have drawn at least five walks in 25 games this season, and are 20-5 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They are 12-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Miami has gone 16-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 75 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 44-31.
- Miami has won 36 of its 46 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 12 of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-120)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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