Giants vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 15, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates (41-50) will look to Ji-Man Choi, currently on a two-game homer streak, against the San Francisco Giants (50-41) at 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, at PNC Park.

The Giants are the road favorite (-158) versus the Pirates (+133). The contest has a set total of 8.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of July 15, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -158 +133 8.5

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been favorites in 46 games this season and won 24 (52.2%) of those contests.
  • San Francisco has a record of 10-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -158 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.2% chance of a victory for the Giants.
  • So far this season, San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of 91 games with a total.
  • The Giants are 48-43-0 against the spread in their 91 chances this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 9
ERA 3.89
K/9 8.7

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 71 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (40.8%) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 12-18 when favored by +133 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 45 of 91 chances this season.
  • In 91 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 42-49-0 against the spread.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 7
ERA 5.34
K/9 7.6

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Cobb

  • Cobb and his team have a record of 11-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, July 6, when he allowed six hits in six scoreless innings against the Seattle Mariners.
  • Cobb will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 16 chances this season.
  • Cobb’s team is 7-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Cobb’s team has won 12 of his 16 starts this season.
  • Games started by Cobb have a 4-11-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 42 42 57 2.57 0 27
Tyler Rogers 41 47.2 38 2.08 21 2
Taylor Rogers 34 30 38 3.30 4 1
Scott Alexander 25 23.2 12 3.42 4 1
Jakob Junis 21 49.2 58 4.71 1 1

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo

  • Oviedo (3-10) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his 19th start of the season. He has a 4.75 ERA in 100 1/3 innings pitched, with 87 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance was on Friday, July 7 against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Oviedo will try to extend a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing).
  • He has had one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
  • The Pirates have a 3-11 record in Oviedo’s 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Oviedo’s team has won six of his 18 starts.
  • Oviedo has started 18 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Dauri Moreta 38 39.2 51 3.40 4 1
David Bednar 33 35.1 42 1.27 0 17
Colin Holderman 30 29.1 29 4.30 13 1
Yohan Ramirez 21 27 23 3.33 3 0
Duane Underwood Jr. 19 24.1 14 5.18 3 2

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have hit two or more dingers in 35 games this season, and are 20-15 in those contests.
  • San Francisco is 13-7 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 36-17 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • San Francisco has a 32-14 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Giants have drawn at least five walks in 26 games this season, and are 18-8 in those contests.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They have won 18 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Pittsburgh has won 16 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 29 of the 40 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a 26-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 13 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Giants vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-158)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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