The Los Angeles Dodgers (52-38) will look to J.D. Martinez, riding a three-game homer streak, versus the New York Mets (42-49) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, at Citi Field.
The Mets are favored at home (-121) against the Dodgers (+101). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 15, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Dodgers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -121 | +101 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have entered the game as favorites 60 times this season and won 32, or 53.3%, of those games.
- New York has entered 54 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 27-27 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of 92 games with a total.
- The Mets have an ATS record of 37-55-0 in 92 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have won in six, or 46.2%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Los Angeles has a mark of 4-6 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Dodgers have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Los Angeles has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 51 of 90 chances this season.
- The Dodgers are 48-42-0 against the spread in their 90 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga
- Senga’s team is 6-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, July 6, when he threw eight innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Senga has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 16 chances this season.
- Senga’s team has a record of 9-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Senga’s team has won nine of his 16 starts.
- In games Senga has started this season, the teams are 4-12-0 at hitting the over.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 39 | 36.1 | 38 | 3.72 | 10 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 37 | 31.1 | 34 | 2.30 | 17 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 36 | 39.1 | 46 | 2.06 | 6 | 13 |
| Drew Smith | 33 | 30.1 | 35 | 4.45 | 9 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 31 | 32 | 34 | 3.66 | 7 | 0 |
Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Tony Gonsolin
- Gonsolin makes the start for the Dodgers, his 14th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 67 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last time out was on Saturday, July 8 against the Los Angeles Angels, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Gonsolin has 10 starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 13 outings this season.
- The Dodgers were the underdog on the moneyline for two Gonsolin starts this season — they lost both.
- Gonsolin’s team has won six of his 13 starts.
- Gonsolin has had 13 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those matchups finished over the total.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yency Almonte | 38 | 37.2 | 37 | 5.02 | 7 | 0 |
| Brusdar Graterol | 37 | 39 | 29 | 1.85 | 10 | 4 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 35 | 33.1 | 39 | 2.70 | 12 | 2 |
| Evan Phillips | 35 | 35.1 | 42 | 2.55 | 6 | 12 |
| Phil Bickford | 29 | 34 | 45 | 5.82 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 15-15 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- New York has had five or more extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 9-4 in those contests.
- The club has notched at least eight hits in 52 games this season, and is 33-19 in those contests.
- New York is 32-15 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Mets are 11-9 over the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 50 games this season and are 37-13 in those matchups.
- Los Angeles has won 23 of its 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 40-17 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 59 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 45-14.
- In 42 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 30-12
Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (+101)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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