The Boston Red Sox (49-43) will look for continued production from a batter on a hot streak versus the Chicago Cubs (42-48) on Saturday at 2:20 PM ET, at Wrigley Field. Adam Duvall is currently on a two-game homer streak.
The Cubs are an underdog at home (+102) against the Red Sox (-121). The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of July 15, 2023 at 1:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -121 | +102 | 8.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won 23, or 57.5%, of the 40 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Boston is 18-10 this season when entering a game favored by -121 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of 92 games with a total.
- The Red Sox are 47-45-0 against the spread in their 92 chances this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.20 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have won in 17, or 37%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Chicago has a win-loss record of 14-21 when favored by +102 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of its 90 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Cubs have posted a record of 43-47-0 against the spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.90 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton
- When Paxton starts, his team is 5-6-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the Oakland Athletics on Saturday.
- Paxton has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 10 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Paxton’s team has a record of 2-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Paxton’s team has won six of his 10 starts this season.
- Out of Paxton’s 11 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 31 | 51.2 | 40 | 3.14 | 9 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 31 | 31 | 37 | 3.19 | 0 | 20 |
| Chris Martin | 30 | 28.2 | 23 | 1.57 | 14 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 22 | 29.2 | 31 | 2.43 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Pivetta | 14 | 69 | 81 | 4.83 | 2 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman
- Stroman will try to claim his 10th win when he gets the start for the Cubs, his 20th of the season. He is 9-6 with a 2.96 ERA and 98 strikeouts through 112 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Thursday, July 6 against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the right-hander went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Stroman will look to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.9 innings per outing.
- In six of his 19 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Cubs are 4-4 in Stroman’s eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Stroman’s team has a 10-9 record over his 19 starts.
- Stroman’s starts hit the over on the run total five times in 19 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 37 | 37.2 | 51 | 3.35 | 5 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 37 | 40 | 41 | 4.50 | 7 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 35 | 37.2 | 53 | 3.58 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 31 | 39.1 | 43 | 2.29 | 7 | 7 |
| Michael Rucker | 28 | 35.1 | 37 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have a 21-9 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Boston has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 29 games this season, and has gone 21-8 in those outings.
- The club has put up eight or more hits in 67 games this season, and is 40-27 in those contests.
- Boston is 40-9 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Red Sox have drawn five or more walks in 22 games this season, and are 12-10 in those contests.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They are 18-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Chicago has won 14 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 40-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Chicago has won 32 of its 43 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 17-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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