The Tampa Bay Rays (58-35) visit the Kansas City Royals (26-65) to start a three-game series at Kauffman Stadium, with first pitch at 2:10 PM ET on Saturday. The Rays are on the back of a series defeat to the Braves, and the Royals a series loss to the Guardians.
The Rays are away and heavy favorites (-279) at the Royals (+226). The total for the game is 9 total runs.
The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of July 15, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -279 | +226 | 9 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have been favored 78 times and won 52, or 66.7%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay is 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -279 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 73.6%.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of 93 opportunities.
- In 93 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 53-40-0 ATS.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.20 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been underdogs in 78 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (29.5%) in those contests.
- This year, Kansas City has won two of eight games when listed as at least +226 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 30.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 42 of its 91 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Royals have posted a record of 35-56-0 against the spread this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 5.57 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow
- Glasnow’s team is 6-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday, July 7, when he gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves.
- Glasnow will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
- Glasnow’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-4.
- Glasnow’s team has a 4-4 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Glasnow’s eight starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 37 | 37.1 | 46 | 2.89 | 8 | 10 |
| Jake Diekman | 36 | 30.2 | 37 | 4.40 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Poche | 36 | 33 | 25 | 2.18 | 12 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 33 | 40.2 | 34 | 2.66 | 8 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 33 | 28.1 | 38 | 4.45 | 8 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Alec Marsh
- Marsh (0-2) gets the starting nod for the Royals, his third of the season.
- His most recent appearance came on Wednesday, July 5 against the Minnesota Twins, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Marsh enters this game with one outing of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- The Royals were the underdog on the moneyline for two Marsh starts this season — they lost both.
- His team has lost both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Marsh’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 35 | 36 | 43 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 34 | 37.2 | 41 | 5.97 | 9 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 30 | 44.2 | 51 | 3.83 | 5 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 30 | 33 | 44 | 4.09 | 0 | 11 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have put up two or more homers in 43 games this season, and are 33-10 in those outings.
- Tampa Bay has gone 25-2 in its 27 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 67 times this season, and has a 44-23 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 44-17 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 24 games this season, and are 19-5 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 19 games this season and are 6-13 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has gone 8-12 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 19 of the 52 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Kansas City has a 16-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won three of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Rays vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-279)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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