The Texas Rangers (52-39) and Cleveland Guardians (45-45) clash on Friday at 8:05 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Globe Life Field.
The Rangers are favored at home (-160) against the Guardians (+135). The over/under for this game is set at 9.
The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 14, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -160 | +135 | 9 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- This season, the Rangers have been favored 61 times and won 35, or 57.4%, of those games.
- Texas has a record of 19-8 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -160 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
- So far this season, Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of 91 games with a total.
- In 91 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 53-38-0 ATS.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.65 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 39 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (43.6%) in those contests.
- Cleveland has a mark of 1-7 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +135 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 37 of its 90 opportunities.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 45-45-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray
- Gray and his team are 8-8-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, July 5, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed nine hits in six innings against the Boston Red Sox.
- Gray will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has made 16 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Gray starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-7.
- Gray’s team is 8-8 when he starts this season.
- Out of Gray’s 16 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 32 | 32.1 | 57 | 2.23 | 8 | 2 |
| Will Smith | 32 | 32.1 | 35 | 3.06 | 4 | 15 |
| Josh Sborz | 28 | 37.2 | 52 | 4.54 | 10 | 0 |
| Brock Burke | 28 | 35.2 | 26 | 3.03 | 9 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 25 | 26.1 | 28 | 3.08 | 1 | 1 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale
- Civale (3-2) takes the mound first for the Guardians in his 10th start of the season. He has a 2.56 ERA in 52 2/3 innings pitched, with 44 strikeouts.
- The righty’s most recent appearance came on Friday, July 7 against the Kansas City Royals, when he threw seven scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
- Civale will aim to pitch five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.8 innings per outing.
- He has had three appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Guardians are 1-2 in Civale’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Civale’s team has won five of his nine starts.
- Civale has had nine starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those matchups.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 42 | 42.2 | 38 | 3.37 | 0 | 25 |
| Trevor Stephan | 40 | 39 | 41 | 2.54 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 37 | 36.1 | 31 | 2.48 | 7 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 34 | 38 | 38 | 1.89 | 6 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 30 | 34 | 34 | 2.65 | 2 | 0 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have racked up two or more round-trippers in 43 games this season, and are 31-12 in those contests.
- Texas has gone 21-12 in its 33 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 53-25 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Texas is 48-16 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rangers are 21-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won 11 of the 13 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cleveland has gone 12-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 54 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-23.
- Cleveland has won 26 of its 31 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 13-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-160)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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