The Milwaukee Brewers (49-42) play the Cincinnati Reds (50-41) on Friday at Great American Ball Park, at 7:10 PM ET.
The Brewers (-118 on the moneyline) and the Reds (-101) will take the field in a projected tight matchup. The over/under in the game is set at 10 total runs.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of July 14, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -118 | -101 | 10 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 48 games this season and won 26 (54.2%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee has entered 38 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 22-16 in those contests.
- The Brewers have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 41 of 91 chances this season.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 44-47-0 in 91 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.95 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (50%) in those contests.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 29-32 when favored by -101 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 53 of its 91 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Reds are 56-35-0 against the spread in their 91 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- When Burnes starts, his team is 7-11-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw six innings against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Burnes has pitched five or more innings in 16 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 18 chances this season.
- Burnes’ team has a record of 9-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Burnes’ team has a 10-8 record in his starts this season.
- In games Burnes has started this season, the teams are 12-6-0 at hitting the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 41 | 36 | 33 | 2.50 | 9 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 38 | 42.1 | 47 | 1.91 | 16 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 33 | 33.1 | 45 | 1.89 | 0 | 20 |
| Elvis Peguero | 32 | 35 | 30 | 3.09 | 11 | 1 |
| Bryse Wilson | 30 | 43.1 | 35 | 2.70 | 3 | 3 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft makes the start for the Reds, his 17th of the season. He is 4-6 with a 6.28 ERA and 61 strikeouts through 81 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Wednesday, July 5 against the Washington Nationals, when he tossed six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up seven hits.
- Ashcraft is aiming for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 innings per start.
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Ashcraft’s starts this season, and they went 6-7 in those games.
- Ashcraft’s team has won eight of his 16 starts.
- Ashcraft has started 16 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 11 of them.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 40 | 44 | 36 | 3.27 | 9 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 40 | 44.1 | 38 | 3.65 | 9 | 2 |
| Alex Young | 39 | 35.2 | 34 | 2.52 | 9 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 39 | 40 | 61 | 2.03 | 1 | 26 |
| Lucas Sims | 34 | 35 | 44 | 3.09 | 13 | 1 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have a 34-7 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Milwaukee has racked up five or more extra-base hits in eight games this season, and won each time.
- The team is 35-13 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
- Milwaukee has a 45-7 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Brewers have gone 25-8 in the 33 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 28 games this season and are 25-3 in those matchups.
- In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 22-5.
- In 66 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 47-19.
- In 60 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 51-9.
- They have won 16 of their 36 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-101)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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