The Baltimore Orioles (54-35) face the Miami Marlins (53-39) after Anthony Santander hit a pair of home runs in a 15-2 victory over the Twins. The game starts at 7:05 PM ET on Friday.
The Marlins are an underdog (+119 moneyline odds) when they take the field at the Orioles (-141). The over/under in the game is 8 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of July 14, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -141 | +119 | 8 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been favorites in 42 games this season and won 29 (69%) of those contests.
- Baltimore has a record of 21-8, a 72.4% win rate, when favored by -141 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of 89 opportunities.
- In 89 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 54-35-0 ATS.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 23, or 48.9%, of the 47 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win 13 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of its 92 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 45-47-0 against the spread in their 92 games that had a posted line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.90 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- When Kremer starts, his team is 12-6-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in seven innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Wednesday, July 5.
- In 18 starts, Kremer has pitched through or past the fifth inning 15 times. He has a season average of 5.4 frames per outing.
- He has made 18 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Kremer starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-3.
- Kremer’s team has won 12 of his 18 starts this season.
- Out of Kremer’s 18 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 39 | 42 | 45 | 4.07 | 6 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 38 | 36.2 | 47 | 3.68 | 10 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 37 | 42 | 84 | 1.07 | 0 | 23 |
| Danny Coulombe | 37 | 30.1 | 38 | 2.67 | 16 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 36 | 42.2 | 38 | 1.48 | 19 | 4 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara gets the start for the Marlins, his 19th of the season. He is 3-7 with a 4.80 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 114 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was on Friday, July 7 against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing eight hits.
- Alcantara is looking for his 16th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.3 frames per start.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Alcantara’s starts this season, and they went 2-6 in those matchups.
- Alcantara’s team has a 7-11 record in his 18 starts.
- Alcantara’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 12 of 18 games.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 38 | 43.1 | 64 | 2.91 | 18 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 36 | 35 | 37 | 4.37 | 9 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 34 | 45.1 | 47 | 3.18 | 12 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 32 | 32 | 43 | 2.53 | 10 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 29 | 29 | 36 | 4.34 | 0 | 15 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles are 26-11 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- Baltimore is 23-3 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 57 times this season, and has a 39-18 record in those games.
- Baltimore has a 41-9 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Orioles are 20-5 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won 12 of the 30 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami has won 16 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 75 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 44-31.
- In 46 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 36-10.
- They have a 12-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-141)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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