Braves vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 14, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 13, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (60-29) and Chicago White Sox (38-54) square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Truist Park, at 7:20 PM ET. The Braves are coming off a series victory over the Rays, and the White Sox a series loss to the Cardinals.

The White Sox are a heavy underdog (+226 moneyline odds) when they take on the Braves (-276). The total for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.

The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of July 14, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs White Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -276 +226 9.5

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 52, or 68.4%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 3-1 when favored by -276 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 73.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of 89 games with a total.
  • The Braves have an ATS record of 46-43-0 in 89 games with a spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 23
ERA 2.43
K/9 8.5

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 56 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (33.9%) in those games.
  • Oddsmakers have given Chicago the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +226 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 30.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of its 92 opportunities.
  • In 92 games with a line this season, the White Sox have a mark of 45-47-0 against the spread.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 7
ERA 5.28
K/9 9.5

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton

  • Morton’s team is 8-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Friday, July 7 in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • Morton has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has made 17 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Morton’s team has a record of 9-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Morton’s team has won 10 of his 17 starts this season.
  • Games Morton has started this season hit the over 10 times in 17 chances.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 43 40.1 50 4.91 11 10
Nick Anderson 34 35.1 36 3.06 15 1
Kirby Yates 31 33.1 46 3.24 5 1
Joe Jiménez 30 30.2 36 2.93 6 0
Raisel Iglesias 27 26.1 33 3.76 0 16

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Michael Kopech

  • Kopech (3-7 with a 4.08 ERA and 97 strikeouts in 86 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the White Sox, his 17th of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday, June 28 against the Los Angeles Angels, when he threw four innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Kopech heads into this matchup with 10 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 16 appearances this season.
  • The White Sox have been the moneyline underdog in 10 of Kopech’s starts this season, and they went 4-6 in those matchups.
  • Kopech’s team has won six of his 16 starts.
  • Kopech has had 16 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those matchups.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kendall Graveman 40 40 39 2.93 8 7
Gregory Santos 38 45.2 44 2.76 4 1
Reynaldo López 37 38 46 4.74 9 4
Aaron Bummer 34 29.2 38 7.58 7 0
Keynan Middleton 33 32 41 3.09 3 2

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have hit at least two round-trippers in 47 games this season, and are 36-11 in those contests.
  • Atlanta is 23-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits in 64 games this season, and is 46-18 in those contests.
  • Atlanta has a 47-9 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Braves have gone 16-9 in the 25 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • They are 15-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Chicago has won 12 of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 30-24 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 33 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 24-9.
  • They have won five of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Braves vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-276)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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