The Arizona Diamondbacks (52-38) hope to sweep the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-49) on Sunday at Chase Field, starting at 4:10 PM ET.
The Diamondbacks are favored at home (-156) versus the Pirates (+131). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 9, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -156 | +131 | 9 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 42 games this season and won 28 (66.7%) of those contests.
- Arizona has entered 15 games this season favored by -156 or more and is 13-2 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
- So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of 90 games with a total.
- The Diamondbacks are 54-36-0 against the spread in their 90 chances this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.05 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won in 28, or 40.6%, of the 69 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 13 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 43.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of its 89 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Pirates are 41-48-0 against the spread in their 89 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.86 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zach Davies
- Davies and his team are 5-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the New York Mets on Tuesday.
- Davies has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 10 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Davies’ team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Davies’ team has a 4-6 record in his starts this season.
- In games Davies has started this season, the teams are 5-5-0 at hitting the over.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 38 | 46.1 | 57 | 2.72 | 12 | 7 |
| Miguel Castro | 37 | 36.1 | 29 | 3.47 | 9 | 7 |
| Kyle Nelson | 35 | 34 | 45 | 2.65 | 6 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 35 | 30.1 | 45 | 3.26 | 11 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 32 | 39.1 | 36 | 5.26 | 1 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Carmen Mlodzinski
- Mlodzinski will start for the Pirates, his first of the season.
- The righty is making his MLB debut at 24 years old.
- Mlodzinski’s team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 38 | 39.2 | 51 | 3.4 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 32 | 34.1 | 40 | 1.31 | 0 | 16 |
| Colin Holderman | 28 | 28 | 29 | 3.86 | 12 | 1 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 21 | 27 | 23 | 3.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have put up at least two home runs in 32 games this season, and are 24-8 in those contests.
- Arizona has put up five or more extra-base hits in 22 games this season, and has gone 17-5 in those outings.
- The club is 49-20 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Arizona is 49-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 18-16 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 24 games this season and are 18-6 in those matchups.
- In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-2.
- They have won 29 of the 39 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has a 26-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-13
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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