The San Diego Padres (42-47) and New York Mets (42-47) play on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET at PETCO Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Mets are an underdog (+111 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Padres (-131). The over/under for this game is 8.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of July 9, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -131 | +111 | 8 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 34 (51.5%) of those contests.
- San Diego has entered 50 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 29-21 in those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of its 89 games with a total this season.
- The Padres are 42-47-0 ATS in their 89 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 10 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been underdogs in 30 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (33.3%) in those contests.
- New York has a mark of 2-13 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of its 90 opportunities.
- The Mets are 37-53-0 against the spread in their 90 games that had a posted line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 2.80 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove
- Musgrove’s team is 7-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
- Musgrove will look to finish five or more innings for the 12th start in a row.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 13 chances this season.
- Musgrove’s team has won 72.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-3).
- Musgrove’s team has won eight of his 13 starts this season.
- In games Musgrove has started this season, the teams are 5-6-2 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 38 | 37.2 | 23 | 3.82 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 35 | 33.1 | 50 | 1.08 | 0 | 21 |
| Luís Garcia | 32 | 30.2 | 31 | 5.58 | 9 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 31 | 64.2 | 55 | 3.9 | 11 | 1 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 30 | 41 | 37 | 3.51 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- Scherzer (8-2 with a 4.03 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 82 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mets, his 16th of the season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance came on Tuesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he tossed six innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Scherzer will try to extend a five-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 15 outings this season.
- The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for two Scherzer starts this season — they split the games.
- Scherzer’s team has won 10 of his 15 starts.
- Scherzer has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in nine of those outings.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 39 | 36.1 | 38 | 3.72 | 10 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 37 | 31.1 | 34 | 2.3 | 17 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 36 | 39.1 | 46 | 2.06 | 6 | 13 |
| Drew Smith | 32 | 29.1 | 34 | 4.3 | 9 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 30 | 31 | 33 | 3.77 | 7 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have an 18-17 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- San Diego is 14-7 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 31-16 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- San Diego is 34-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 38 games this season, and are 23-15 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 15 of the 30 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- New York has gone 9-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 33-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 47 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 32-15.
- They have a 11-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-131)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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