The Atlanta Braves (60-28) carry a three-game winning streak into a home contest versus the Tampa Bay Rays (57-35), at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.
The Rays are favored (-128 moneyline odds) when they take on the Braves (+107). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 9, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Braves Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -128 | +107 | 8.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have won 51 out of the 77 games, or 66.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 46-15, a 75.4% win rate, when favored by -128 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 56.1%.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of its 92 games with a total this season.
- The Rays are 52-40-0 ATS in their 92 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.00 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won in seven, or 63.6%, of the 11 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Atlanta has been victorious three times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Braves have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of its 88 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Braves have an against the spread mark of 46-42-0 in 88 games with a line this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 27 |
| ERA | 1.60 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin’s team is 7-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in seven innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Eflin will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- He has made 16 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Eflin’s team has been victorious in 80% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 12-3.
- Eflin’s team has won 12 of his 16 starts this season.
- In Eflin’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Diekman | 36 | 30.2 | 37 | 4.40 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Poche | 36 | 33 | 25 | 2.18 | 12 | 1 |
| Jason Adam | 36 | 36.1 | 45 | 2.97 | 8 | 10 |
| Kevin Kelly | 33 | 40.2 | 34 | 2.66 | 8 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 32 | 27.1 | 35 | 4.61 | 8 | 0 |
Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- Elder (7-1) gets the starting nod for the Braves in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.45 ERA in 102 2/3 innings pitched, with 80 strikeouts.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Monday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Elder will try to extend an 18-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.0 innings per appearance).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 17 appearances this season.
- The Braves are 3-1 in Elder’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Elder’s team has won 13 of his 17 starts.
- Elder’s starts went over the run total five times in 17 games with a set total this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 43 | 40.1 | 50 | 4.91 | 11 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 34 | 35.1 | 36 | 3.06 | 15 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 31 | 33.1 | 46 | 3.24 | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 29 | 28.2 | 34 | 3.14 | 6 | 0 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 27 | 26.1 | 33 | 3.76 | 0 | 16 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 32-10 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
- Tampa Bay has gone 24-2 in its 26 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits 66 times this season, and has a 43-23 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 43-17 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Rays have gone 18-5 in the 23 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Braves Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 47 games this season and are 36-11 in those matchups.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-1.
- They have won 46 of the 63 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Atlanta has won 47 of its 56 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-9
Rays vs. Braves Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-128)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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