The Houston Astros (50-40) host the Seattle Mariners (44-44) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The Mariners are a favorite (-136) against the Astros (+115). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 9, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -136 | +115 | 8.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been favorites in 57 games this season and won 31 (54.4%) of those contests.
- Seattle is 21-16 this season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Seattle has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 44 of 88 chances this season.
- The Mariners are 40-48-0 ATS in their 88 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been victorious in 17, or 58.6%, of the 29 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Houston has a mark of 7-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 46.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over in 44 of its 90 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Astros are 46-44-0 against the spread in their 90 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert
- Gilbert’s team is 7-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in nine innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
- Gilbert has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 17 chances this season.
- Gilbert’s team has a record of 4-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Gilbert has started, his team is 8-9.
- In Gilbert’s 17 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 41 | 35 | 61 | 3.60 | 8 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 36 | 35.1 | 49 | 3.31 | 0 | 16 |
| Justin Topa | 36 | 33.2 | 28 | 2.94 | 13 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 35 | 28.2 | 27 | 4.08 | 8 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 24 | 23 | 23 | 2.74 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Brandon Bielak
- Bielak gets the start for the Astros, his 10th of the season. He is 4-4 with a 3.81 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 54 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance came on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, when the right-hander went seven scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
- Bielak heads into this matchup with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 10 outings this season.
- The Astros have a 1-3 record in Bielak’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Bielak’s nine starts, his team is 4-5.
- Bielak has started nine contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 40 | 42 | 64 | 2.79 | 15 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 39 | 43.1 | 50 | 2.49 | 6 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 38 | 37.2 | 44 | 1.43 | 17 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 37 | 39.1 | 42 | 2.52 | 0 | 20 |
| Rafael Montero | 35 | 36.1 | 38 | 6.94 | 5 | 1 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have put up two or more dingers in 30 games this season, and are 22-8 in those contests.
- Seattle has collected five or more extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 12-1 in those outings.
- The club has put up at least eight hits 54 times this season, and has a 35-19 record in those games.
- Seattle is 41-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Mariners are 24-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 27 games this season and are 20-7 in those matchups.
- Houston has gone 14-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 49 of the 61 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Houston has won 45 of its 52 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-6
Mariners vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (+115)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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