Giants vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 8, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (48-41) and Colorado Rockies (34-56) square off on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET at Oracle Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.

The Giants are favored at home (-273) against the Rockies (+224). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 9, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -273 +224 8

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 22 (50%) of those contests.
  • San Francisco has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -273.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Giants have a 73.2% chance to win.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of 89 opportunities.
  • The Giants are 47-42-0 against the spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.6
HR 9
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.3

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 79 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (39.2%) in those games.
  • Colorado has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +224 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 30.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of its 90 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rockies are 40-50-0 against the spread in their 90 games that had a posted line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 9
ERA 6.65
K/9 6.8

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Logan Webb

  • Webb and his team have a record of 6-12-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday.
  • Webb will look to finish five or more innings for the 19th start in a row.
  • He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 18 chances this season.
  • Webb’s team has a record of 5-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Webb’s team has an 8-10 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Webb has started this season, the teams are 6-11-1 at hitting the over.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 41 41 57 2.63 0 26
Tyler Rogers 40 45.2 36 2.17 20 2
Taylor Rogers 34 30 38 3.3 4 1
Scott Alexander 25 23.2 12 3.42 4 1
Jakob Junis 21 49.2 58 4.71 1 1

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Kyle Freeland

  • Freeland (4-9) gets the starting nod for the Rockies in his 19th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.93 ERA in 96 2/3 innings pitched, with 63 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Houston Astros, the lefty tossed 6 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Freeland will try to build on a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 frames per appearance).
  • In four of his 18 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
  • The Rockies have a 6-10 record in Freeland’s 16 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Freeland’s team is 7-11 over his 18 starts.
  • Freeland’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 18 contests.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Bird 39 55.1 52 3.42 6 0
Pierce Johnson 37 34.2 51 6.49 2 13
Justin Lawrence 36 44 44 2.86 8 5
Brad Hand 33 29.2 35 5.16 2 0
Daniel Bard 29 30.2 26 1.76 3 1

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants are 20-15 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 13-7 in those contests.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits in 52 games this season, and is 35-17 in those contests.
  • San Francisco is 31-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Giants are 18-8 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 11-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-11.
  • In 60 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-32.
  • Colorado has a 27-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won eight of their 12 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Giants vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-273)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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