White Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 8, 2023

The Chicago White Sox (38-53) and St. Louis Cardinals (37-52) meet on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET at Guaranteed Rate Field, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.

The White Sox are favored at home (-131) against the Cardinals (+110). The total for this game is set at 9.

The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of July 9, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

White Sox vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
White Sox -131 +110 9

White Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the White Sox have been favored 35 times and won 19, or 54.3%, of those games.
  • This season Chicago has won 13 of its 23 games, or 56.5%, when favored by at least -131 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the White Sox, based on the moneyline, is 56.7%.
  • Games involving Chicago has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 91 chances this season.
  • The White Sox are 45-46-0 ATS in their 91 games with a spread this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 11
ERA 5.54
K/9 9.9

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been underdogs in 38 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (39.5%) in those contests.
  • St. Louis has a mark of 10-10 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of its 89 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Cardinals are 39-50-0 against the spread in their 89 games that had a posted line this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 11
ERA 5.86
K/9 7.1

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White Sox Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito

  • When Giolito starts, his team is 11-7-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • Giolito has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 18 chances this season.
  • Giolito’s team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-3.
  • In games Giolito has started, his team is 7-11.
  • Out of Giolito’s 18 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kendall Graveman 39 39 37 2.77 8 7
Gregory Santos 37 44.2 43 2.82 4 1
Reynaldo López 37 38 46 4.74 9 4
Aaron Bummer 34 29.2 38 7.58 7 0
Keynan Middleton 32 31 40 3.19 3 2

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Steven Matz

  • The Cardinals are sending Matz (0-7) to the mound to make his 11th start of the season. He is 0-7 with a 5.02 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 66 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty last appeared in relief on Wednesday, when he tossed 2 1/3 innings against the Miami Marlins, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • Matz has pitched five or more innings in a game seven times this year entering this game.
  • In six of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
  • The Cardinals have a 1-2 record in Matz’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Matz’s team is 2-8 over his 10 starts.
  • Matz’s starts went over the run total four times in 10 games with a set total this season.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jordan Hicks 35 36.2 55 3.93 6 7
Giovanny Gallegos 33 36 35 4.25 12 8
Chris Stratton 32 44 46 4.30 3 0
Andre Pallante 28 31.1 29 4.60 8 0
Génesis Cabrera 28 30.1 35 4.75 5 0

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • The White Sox are 15-15 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Chicago has collected at least five extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 12-7 in those outings.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits in 54 games this season, and is 30-24 in those contests.
  • Chicago is 24-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The White Sox are 5-6 in the 11 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 28 of the 43 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has won 24 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 62 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 38-24.
  • St. Louis has won 33 of its 43 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 10 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

White Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: White Sox (-131)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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