Manny Machado brings a two-game homer streak into the San Diego Padres’ (41-47) game versus the New York Mets (42-46) at 10:10 PM ET on Saturday, at PETCO Park.
The Mets are an underdog (+152 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Padres (-180). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of July 8, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -180 | +152 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 65 times and won 33, or 50.8%, of those games.
- San Diego has a record of 11-10 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -180 on the moneyline.
- The Padres have a 64.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 34 of 88 chances this season.
- The Padres are 41-47-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (34.5%) in those games.
- New York has won all of its three games in which it was named as at least a +152 moneyline underdog.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 39 of 89 chances this season.
- The Mets have an against the spread mark of 37-52-0 in 89 games with a line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 2.67 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- Snell’s team is 7-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he allowed seven hits in five scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Angels.
- Snell has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 17 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Snell’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-6.
- Snell’s team has won six of his 17 starts this season.
- Out of Snell’s 17 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 38 | 37.2 | 23 | 3.82 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 34 | 32.1 | 48 | 1.11 | 0 | 20 |
| Luís Garcia | 31 | 29.2 | 30 | 5.46 | 8 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 30 | 63.2 | 52 | 3.96 | 10 | 1 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 30 | 41 | 37 | 3.51 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- Peterson makes the start for the Mets, his 11th of the season. He is 2-6 with a 6.61 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 49 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Sunday, the lefty tossed four innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Peterson has put up seven starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Mets are 1-3 in Peterson’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Peterson’s team has a 3-7 record in his starts this season.
- Peterson has had 10 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those outings.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 39 | 36.1 | 38 | 3.72 | 10 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 37 | 31.1 | 34 | 2.3 | 17 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 36 | 39.1 | 46 | 2.06 | 6 | 13 |
| Drew Smith | 32 | 29.1 | 34 | 4.3 | 9 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 29 | 30 | 32 | 3.9 | 7 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 18-17 this season in games when they crush at least two bombs.
- San Diego is 14-7 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 31-16 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- San Diego has a 34-6 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 38 games this season, and are 23-15 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 15-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-4.
- In 52 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-19.
- New York has a 32-15 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 20 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-9
Padres vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-180)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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