The Pittsburgh Pirates (40-48) carry a three-game losing streak into a home contest versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (51-38), at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The favored Diamondbacks (-133 on the moneyline to win) host the Pirates (+113). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of July 8, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -133 | +113 | 8.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- This season, the Diamondbacks have won 27 out of the 41 games, or 65.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Arizona has won 20 of its 27 games, or 74.1%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 57.1% chance to win.
- So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of 89 games with a total.
- The Diamondbacks are 54-35-0 against the spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 28, or 41.2%, of the 68 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 24 times in 52 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 44 of 88 chances this season.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 40-48-0 in 88 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.86 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Kyle Nelson
- Nelson’s team is 2-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Thursday when he threw scoreless two-thirds of an inning out of the bullpen against the New York Mets while allowing one hit.
- He is looking for his third appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
- Nelson’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Nelson’s team has a 2-1 record in his starts this season.
- In the three games Nelson has started this season, the teams combined to hit the over on the point total each time.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 37 | 44.1 | 53 | 2.84 | 12 | 7 |
| Miguel Castro | 36 | 35.1 | 27 | 3.57 | 9 | 7 |
| Kyle Nelson | 35 | 32.2 | 42 | 2.76 | 6 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 34 | 29.1 | 43 | 3.38 | 11 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 32 | 39.1 | 36 | 5.26 | 1 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller looks for his 10th win when he makes the start for the Pirates, his 19th of the season. He is 9-4 with a 3.52 ERA and 125 strikeouts in 110 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he threw five innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Keller will aim to go five or more innings for his 18th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 18 appearances this season.
- The Pirates have a 7-4 record in Keller’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Keller’s team is 11-7 in his 18 starts.
- Keller has started 18 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in nine of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 38 | 39.2 | 51 | 3.4 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 31 | 33 | 39 | 1.36 | 0 | 16 |
| Colin Holderman | 27 | 27 | 28 | 3.67 | 12 | 1 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 21 | 27 | 23 | 3.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have hit two or more long balls in 32 games this season, and are 24-8 in those contests.
- Arizona is 17-5 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits in 69 games this season, and is 49-20 in those contests.
- Arizona has a 49-11 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Diamondbacks have gone 17-16 over the 33 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 18 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has gone 16-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 39 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-10.
- Pittsburgh has a 26-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 13 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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