The Milwaukee Brewers (48-41) host the Cincinnati Reds (49-40) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Brewers are a home favorite (-131) against the Reds (+110). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 8, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -131 | +110 | 9.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have won 25 out of the 46 games, or 54.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Milwaukee has entered 28 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 16-12 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of 89 games with a total.
- The Brewers are 44-45-0 against the spread in their 89 chances this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with 33 wins in the 66 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 26-28 when favored by +110 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of its 89 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Reds are 54-35-0 against the spread in their 89 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.87 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea and his team are 9-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Rea will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- He has made 15 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Rea’s team is 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Rea’s team has a 9-5 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Rea’s 14 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 41 | 36 | 33 | 2.5 | 9 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 37 | 41.1 | 45 | 1.96 | 15 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 32 | 32.1 | 43 | 1.95 | 0 | 19 |
| Elvis Peguero | 30 | 33 | 28 | 2.73 | 10 | 1 |
| Bryse Wilson | 29 | 42 | 35 | 2.79 | 3 | 3 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver
- Weaver gets the start for the Reds, his 15th of the season. He is 2-2 with a 6.72 ERA and 57 strikeouts over 69 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Monday, the right-hander tossed five innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Weaver has pitched five or more innings in a game eight times this year entering this game.
- In one of his 14 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Weaver’s starts this season, and they went 8-5 in those matchups.
- Weaver’s team has won nine of his 14 starts.
- Weaver has started 14 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in nine of them.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Farmer | 39 | 43.1 | 37 | 3.74 | 8 | 2 |
| Ian Gibaut | 38 | 41.2 | 35 | 3.46 | 9 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 38 | 35.1 | 34 | 2.55 | 9 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 38 | 39 | 59 | 2.08 | 1 | 25 |
| Lucas Sims | 33 | 33.2 | 42 | 3.21 | 13 | 1 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 34-6 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its eight games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 47 games this season, and is 35-12 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has a 45-6 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Brewers have gone 25-8 in the 33 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 27 games this season and are 24-3 in those matchups.
- Cincinnati has won 21 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 65 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 46-19.
- Cincinnati has a 50-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 16 of their 36 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-131)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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