The Chicago Cubs (41-46) will look to Cody Bellinger, currently on a 13-game hitting streak, against the New York Yankees (48-41) at 1:05 PM ET on Saturday, at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees are a home favorite (-208) versus the Cubs (+173). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of July 8, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -208 | +173 | 8.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been favorites in 58 games this season and won 34 (58.6%) of those contests.
- New York has played as favorites of -208 or more twice this season and won both games.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 38 of 89 chances this season.
- In 89 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 47-42-0 ATS.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.01 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been victorious in 16, or 37.2%, of the 43 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Chicago has played as an underdog of +173 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 36.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 42 of its 87 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cubs have posted a record of 42-45-0 against the spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole
- Cole and his team have a record of 10-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw six innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- In 18 starts this season, Cole has lasted five or more innings 17 times, with an average of 6.1 innings per appearance.
- In 18 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
- Cole’s team has won 81.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (13-3).
- Cole’s team has won 13 of his 18 starts this season.
- Out of Cole’s 18 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 38 | 34.1 | 28 | 2.62 | 11 | 4 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 35 | 40 | 47 | 3.15 | 7 | 2 |
| Clay Holmes | 35 | 35.1 | 46 | 1.78 | 5 | 10 |
| Albert Abreu | 30 | 38.1 | 42 | 4.46 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael King | 27 | 47 | 50 | 2.87 | 3 | 5 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- Smyly (7-5) takes the mound first for the Cubs in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.30 ERA in 90 2/3 innings pitched, with 76 strikeouts.
- The lefty’s most recent time out came on Monday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he went 3 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Smyly has put up 12 starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 17 appearances this season.
- The Cubs have a 4-4 record in Smyly’s eight starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Smyly’s team has won nine of his 17 starts.
- Smyly has had 17 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and nine of those games hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 36 | 39 | 40 | 4.62 | 6 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 36 | 36.1 | 50 | 3.47 | 5 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 34 | 36.2 | 52 | 3.19 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 30 | 38.1 | 43 | 2.35 | 7 | 6 |
| Michael Rucker | 27 | 34.1 | 36 | 3.93 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have hit at least two long balls in 50 games this season, and are 38-12 in those outings.
- New York is 12-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 39-16 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- New York has a 36-11 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Yankees are 15-8 over the 23 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 18-14 in those matchups.
- Chicago has won 14 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 58 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 40-18.
- In 42 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 31-11.
- They have won 16 of their 30 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-208)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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