The Houston Astros (49-40) host the Seattle Mariners (44-43) on Saturday at Minute Maid Park, at 7:15 PM ET.
The Mariners are an away underdog (+112) at the Astros (-133). The over/under for this game is set at 7.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of July 8, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -133 | +112 | 7 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have entered the game as favorites 60 times this season and won 32, or 53.3%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 27-16, a 62.8% win rate, when favored by -133 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 44 of 89 chances this season.
- In 89 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 46-43-0 ATS.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been victorious in 13, or 43.3%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Seattle has won five of 12 games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 44 of its 87 opportunities.
- The Mariners are 39-48-0 against the spread in their 87 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez’s team is 8-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, June 27, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in six innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Valdez has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 16 chances this season.
- Valdez’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-7).
- Valdez’s team has won nine of his 16 starts this season.
- In games Valdez has started this season, the teams are 8-8-0 at hitting the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Maton | 39 | 43.1 | 50 | 2.49 | 6 | 0 |
| Bryan Abreu | 39 | 41 | 62 | 2.85 | 15 | 2 |
| Héctor Neris | 37 | 36.2 | 42 | 1.47 | 17 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 36 | 38.1 | 42 | 2.58 | 0 | 19 |
| Rafael Montero | 35 | 36.1 | 38 | 6.94 | 5 | 1 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryan Woo
- Woo (1-1) takes the mound first for the Mariners in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 4.08 ERA in 28 2/3 innings pitched, with 39 strikeouts.
- His last time out was on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, when the right-hander went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Woo will look to build on a five-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.7 frames per appearance).
- In one of his six total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Mariners have a 3-1 record in Woo’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Woo’s six starts, his team is 4-2.
- Woo’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of six contests.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 41 | 35 | 61 | 3.60 | 8 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 36 | 35.1 | 49 | 3.31 | 0 | 16 |
| Gabe Speier | 35 | 28.2 | 27 | 4.08 | 8 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 35 | 32.2 | 28 | 3.03 | 13 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 24 | 23 | 23 | 2.74 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have put up two or more dingers in 27 games this season, and are 20-7 in those outings.
- Houston has gone 14-5 in its 19 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 61 times this season, and has a 49-12 record in those games.
- Houston has a 45-7 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros have drawn at least five walks in 25 games this season, and are 19-6 in those contests.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- They have won 22 of the 30 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Seattle has won 12 of its 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 35 of the 54 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 48 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 41-7.
- They have a 24-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Astros vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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