The Tampa Bay Rays (57-34) carry a six-game losing streak into a contest versus the Atlanta Braves (59-28), at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.
The Braves are a favorite (-165) at the Rays (+139). The game’s total is set at 8.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 8, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -165 | +139 | 8 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 75 times and won 51, or 68%, of those games.
- This season Atlanta has won 29 of its 38 games, or 76.3%, when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of 87 opportunities.
- In 87 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 45-42-0 ATS.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 28 |
| ERA | 1.70 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (42.9%) in those games.
- Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +139 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of its 91 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rays have an against the spread mark of 52-39-0 in 91 games with a line this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider and his team have a record of 10-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Sunday.
- Strider has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 17 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Strider’s team has been victorious in 88.2% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 15-2.
- Strider’s team has won 15 of his 17 starts.
- Games started by Strider have a 12-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 42 | 40 | 49 | 4.95 | 11 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 34 | 35.1 | 36 | 3.06 | 15 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 30 | 32.2 | 45 | 3.31 | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 29 | 28.2 | 34 | 3.14 | 6 | 0 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 27 | 26.1 | 33 | 3.76 | 0 | 16 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Taj Bradley
- Bradley gets the start for the Rays, his 13th of the season. He is 5-4 with a 5.11 ERA and 76 strikeouts through 56 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Seattle Mariners, when he went 3 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Bradley has put up seven starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Rays were named the moneyline underdog for two Bradley starts this season — they lost both.
- Bradley’s team has won six of his 12 starts.
- Bradley’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 12 games with a set total this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 36 | 33 | 25 | 2.18 | 12 | 1 |
| Jason Adam | 36 | 36.1 | 45 | 2.97 | 8 | 10 |
| Jake Diekman | 35 | 29.2 | 37 | 4.55 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 33 | 40.2 | 34 | 2.66 | 8 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 32 | 27.1 | 35 | 4.61 | 8 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit at least two homers in 47 games this season, and are 36-11 in those contests.
- Atlanta has collected five or more extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 23-1 in those contests.
- The club is 46-17 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Atlanta is 46-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 24 games this season, and are 15-9 in those contests.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 42 games this season and are 32-10 in those matchups.
- Tampa Bay has gone 24-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 43-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 60 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 43-17.
- They have a 18-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+139)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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