The Arizona Diamondbacks (50-38) and Pittsburgh Pirates (40-47) both head into Friday’s matchup on losing streaks. The Diamondbacks have dropped four straight games, the Pirates two in a row.
The favored Diamondbacks (-221 on the moneyline) play at home against the Pirates (+182). The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 7, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -221 | +182 | 8.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 40 games this season and won 26 (65%) of those contests.
- Arizona has been at least -221 moneyline favorites three times this season and won each of those games.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 68.8% chance to win.
- So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of 88 games with a total.
- The Diamondbacks are 53-35-0 ATS in their 88 games with a spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 67 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (41.8%) in those contests.
- Pittsburgh has a mark of 3-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +182 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 35.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of its 87 opportunities.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 40-47-0 in 87 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.48 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen
- Gallen’s team is 12-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw seven innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Gallen has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 18 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- Gallen’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-3).
- Gallen’s team has a 12-6 record in his starts this season.
- Games Gallen has started this season hit the over nine times in 18 chances.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 37 | 44.1 | 53 | 2.84 | 12 | 7 |
| Kyle Nelson | 35 | 32.2 | 42 | 2.76 | 6 | 0 |
| Miguel Castro | 35 | 34.1 | 27 | 3.67 | 9 | 7 |
| Andrew Chafin | 34 | 29.1 | 43 | 3.38 | 11 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 32 | 39.1 | 36 | 5.26 | 1 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill makes the start for the Pirates, his 18th of the season. He is 7-8 with a 4.60 ERA and 88 strikeouts in 94 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty last pitched on Sunday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Hill is seeking his 10th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 frames per start.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Pirates are 5-7 in Hill’s 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Hill’s team has won eight of his 17 starts.
- Hill’s starts hit the over on the run total nine times in 17 games with a set total this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 37 | 37.2 | 48 | 3.58 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 31 | 33 | 39 | 1.36 | 0 | 16 |
| Colin Holderman | 27 | 27 | 28 | 3.67 | 12 | 1 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 20 | 25 | 23 | 2.88 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks are 24-8 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Arizona has gone 17-5 in its 22 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits in 68 games this season, and is 48-20 in those contests.
- Arizona has a 48-11 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Diamondbacks have drawn five or more walks in 32 games this season, and are 16-16 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 18 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has won 16 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 39 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-10.
- Pittsburgh has won 26 of its 31 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 13-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-221)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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