The Kansas City Royals (25-63) hope to stop their four-game losing run against the Cleveland Guardians (43-44), at 7:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Guardians are favored (-188 on the moneyline) when they host the Royals (+154). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The insights in this article use the latest odds as of July 7, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -188 | +154 | 8.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have been favored 47 times and won 26, or 55.3%, of those games.
- Cleveland is 4-6 this season when entering a game favored by -188 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 65.3% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of 87 games with a total.
- The Guardians have an ATS record of 43-44-0 in 87 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been victorious in 22, or 29.3%, of the 75 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Kansas City has a mark of 9-25 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +154 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 39.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of its 88 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Royals have an against the spread record of 34-54-0 in 88 games with a line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 3 |
| ERA | 5.79 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale
- Civale’s team is 5-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
- Civale has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in eight chances this season.
- Civale’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-2).
- Civale’s team has won four of his eight starts.
- Out of Civale’s eight starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 40 | 40.2 | 37 | 3.54 | 0 | 24 |
| Trevor Stephan | 39 | 38 | 40 | 2.61 | 12 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 36 | 36 | 31 | 2.50 | 6 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 33 | 36.2 | 37 | 1.72 | 5 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 29 | 32.1 | 33 | 2.78 | 2 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Daniel Lynch
- Lynch makes the start for the Royals, his eighth of the season. He is 2-3 with a 4.14 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 41 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Saturday, the left-hander tossed five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Lynch is aiming for his eighth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 innings per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his seven outings this season.
- The Royals are 2-3 in Lynch’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Lynch’s team has compiled a 3-4 record over his seven starts.
- Lynch’s starts went over the run total three times in seven games with a set total this season.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 35 | 36 | 43 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 33 | 36.2 | 40 | 6.14 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 29 | 32 | 43 | 4.22 | 0 | 10 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 28 | 41.2 | 49 | 4.10 | 4 | 0 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians are 11-2 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Cleveland has collected five or more extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and has gone 11-5 in those outings.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 53 times this season, and has a 30-23 record in those games.
- Cleveland has a 25-5 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Guardians are 13-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 19 games this season and are 6-13 in those matchups.
- In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-11.
- They have won 18 of the 50 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Kansas City has a 16-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 3-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-188)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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